Today we have a guest article from Jon Gibby who is the author the Well Handicapped Three Year Olds series of books published by Raceform.
He is also a regular contributor to the Betting Insiders Report where he shares his winning methods.
Today he shares a very small part of his comprehensive guide to finding big priced ante post selections for the summer classics including the Derby and The Oaks.
The full strategy and selections can be found in the current issue of Betting Insiders.
Speed figures are an excellent tool for identifying the best two-year-olds as soon as they make their debuts.
Any 2yo that clocks a Topspeed figure of 80+ first time out is very likely to prove to be at least of Listed class and a significant proportion of them will be Group class.
Very few horses are able to overcome their lack of experience to run so quickly on their debuts and those that do are worth monitoring closely. Those with the right profile in terms of their breeding and connections are likely to be genuine contenders for the Classics.
There are normally about 15 qualifiers each year on average but the small pool of horses the method highlights often includes a Classic winner and other Group 1 performers.
In recent years this method has flagged up the credentials of the Oaks winner Sariska (33/1), St Nicholas Abbey, Workforce and the Fugue.
By getting on these horses ante-post, soon after their debuts, good profits can be made and it is often the case that they can be laid at much shorter odds nearer to the race, thus guaranteeing a return on investment.
It is worth pointing out that Sea The Stars clocked a Topspeed figure of 87 on his debut in a 7f maiden at the Curragh in July 2008, although he didn’t win that day because he was too inexperienced to beat several very good rivals.
The full list of the qualifiers from last year is as follows:
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Today’s Selection courtesy of Betting Insiders
Towc 1630 Henok (Gen 9/4)