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Nick Hardman Tips

We had a decent day last Friday with two winners at 8/1 and 4/1 from the Fillies and Mares system qualifiers we are trialing over at the Betting School and followed up on Saturday with Night Of Thunder in the Lockinge.

This week we turn our attentions to the weekend’s Goodwood card and we have a trends based analysis of the Silver Bowl from Haydock on Saturday.

Jeremy Noseda has an excellent record with his runners at Goodwood.

Since 2011 he has saddled 14 winners from 45 runners at a strike rate of 31% for a profit of £54.30 to level stakes.

More importantly he has turned a profit in all of the years from 2011 to 2014.

On Friday he runs Zeshov in the handicap at 2.50pm and Luna Moon in the Fillies’ handicap at 3.25pm. Ryan Moore takes both rides and that can only be seen as a positive.

Zeshov won a maiden at the second time of asking last year and was allotted a handicap mark of 81. Three poor efforts followed and that has seen his mark drop to 73.Continue Reading

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Top Ten Tipsters

I only managed one correct score on my Super 6 entry on Saturday, but I was chuffed that so many readers agreed to share part of their returns if they were successful :)

Nick gave us a great Friday with winners at 8/1 and 7/2 from the Fillies and Mares system that he runs for members of the Betting School Insiders Club and followed up on Saturday with a 7/2 winner for another very profitable column.

This week’s top ten tipsters produced by On Course Profits magazine has the number one slot unchanged but there are a number of movers and shakers this week clearly demonstrating how difficult it can be to find a consistent service.

Our list of tipsters is updated weekly to highlight those services which are currently offering a healthy strike rate and demonstrate that they can provide consistent profitability.

All tipster results are based on Best Odds Guaranteed prices and results for the last 30 days.

1. Nap InvestorStrike Rate = 60% ROI = 455%
Still at the head of the table this week is Nap Investor. Winners with Areen 15/2 and Libran 10/1 (advised odds) at the York meeting have helped to give these guys at the top.
Find out more about the service.

2. BK Man At The RacesStrike Rate = 50% ROI=235%
A new entrant is BK Man at the Races from the Bet Kudos team. A horse racing advice service from their ‘inside man’ claiming to provide information on both horses and jockeys.
Find out more about the service.

3. Winners GaloreStrike Rate = 25% ROI = 88%
Another new entrant is Winners Galore. This is another service which claims to get in amongst the people in the know, the owners, stable boys and trainers.
They provide a “few main nap bets” each day every week which are their “top selections”.
Find out more about the service.Continue Reading

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Share 1/4 Million

I’ve just made my Sky Super 6 entry and if I win this week I’ll share the win with any readers that have also made a Super 6 entry.

Here’s my picks…

Burnley v Stoke 1:0
QPR v Newcastle 0:1
Sunderland v Leicester 1:1
Spurs v Hull 2:0
West Ham v Everton 0:2
Liverpool v Palace 2:0

If you want to share any winnings from that entry just make your own Sky Super 6 entry here https://super6.skysports.com and then post a comment to say you’ve made your entry below before kick off at 15:00.

Football Selections courtesy of Football Forecasts

Southampton v A Villa

Correct score 1-1: 13/2 widely available
Correct score 2-1: Betfred 15/2

Racing Selections courtesy of Betting Insiders

Newbury 3.45pm

Night Of Thunder @5/2
Custom Cut @12/1 each-way

Newmarket 3.25pm

Grandad’s World
Properus

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Free Racing Tips – Nick Hardman

We landed the winner of the Victoria Cup last weekend with Speculative Bid (adv 14/1) and this weekend’s feature race is the Lockinge from Newbury which we will take a look at later, along with the Sprint Trophy from Newmarket.

First of all we have some qualifiers from a fillies and mares system I am trialing over at the Betting School. It is very early days but we have managed to land 3 winners from 11 runners including a nice 5/1 shot yesterday. Like I say it is very early days and paper trading or small stakes are advised whenever testing out a new system.

For today we have the following qualifiers:

York 3.45pm Sperry 4/1 & Yasmeen 11/4
Newbury 3.55pm Caroline Norton 14/1
Newmarket 4.10pm Gretchen 13/2, Mill Springs 8/1 & Silken Ocean 25/1

The Sprint Trophy from Newmarket has a few decent trends and hopefully we can land another big race winner. 8 of the last 10 winners were rated 91 – 96 and 16 of the last 18 winners had raced in the 8 to 60 days prior to the race.

Horses that had not previously won over 6f have a strike rate of just 3% and 2 runs in the current season looks a good statistic, accounting for 11 winners since 1997.

Roger Charlton and Richard Fahey have both saddled the winner of the race twice in the last 8 years.

No horse ticks all boxes but the one who comes closest is Grandad’s World for Richard Fahey. He needs to put a below par effort behind him here though.

Of those rated lower than ideal Properus looks a potentially smart prospect.

Newmarket Saturday 3.25pm

Grandad’s World
Properus

The Lockinge has been won by the favourite or second favourite every year since 2003 with just one exception, Red Evie in 2007 who was third favourite.

The Hannon yard has won three of the last four renewals and Night Of Thunder heads the betting at 5/2.

Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled the winner of the race on 5 occasions since 1998 and Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 3 times since the turn of the millennium.

The latter runs Integral and the former has no entries.

We do not have much else to go on stats-wise except horses aged 6yo or older are 1-31 since 1997 and 15 of the last 18 winners won this on their seasonal reappearance.

What is interesting is that only 8 fillies have tried to win this since 2000 but 3 of them have been successful – Red Evie, Peeress and Russian Rhythm.

The last two were trained by Sir Michael Stoute and that would put Integral firmly in the mix at second favourite.

However, she has raced against the boys just once in her career when finishing down the field in the QEII on Champions Day, a race won by Night Of Thunder.

Also ahead of her that day were Tullius and Captain Cat who are set to line up on Saturday.

Only three horses have beaten Night Of Thunder over a mile – Kingman, Charm Spirit and stablemate Toronado.

All three have been retired to stud and it is hard to pick holes in his form in the context of this race.

At bigger prices Custom Cut and Tullius have won at lower Group level over a mile, with the latter finishing runner-up in this race last year.

All things considered it is Night Of Thunder for me @5/2 and Custom Cut each-way @12/1.

Newbury Saturday 3.45pm

Night Of Thunder @5/2
Custom Cut @12/1 each-way

All the best

Nick Hardman

http://bettinginsiders.co.uk

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