Good morning all,
Another quiet Saturday on the quality front although that wouldn’t have concerned you if you backed Fingerontheswitch put up by our very own David Massey in his Saturday column.
In my weekly look back, I have reviews of two of Saturday’s big handicaps. Plus, a look forward to one of next weekend’s big races and a Monday tip from Punchestown.
Have a great week and enjoy the read.
Kimberlite Reels in The Captain
Kimberlite County who had finished strongly to take second in Aintree’s Becher Chase, backed up that excellent effort with a win in Warwick’s Classic Handicap Chase.
The Grand National will now be in the 8-year-old’s sights given how well he took to the National fences.
Captain Chaos was ridden aggressively and those tactics almost worked. He had most of the field strung out like the weekend washing and only gave best coming to the last but still managed to hold on for second.
The Conditional Maintains His Progress
The Conditional runner-up in the Ladbroke Trophy looked to have a good chance two out but his stamina seemed to run out between the final two and he weakened to finish fourth.
The extra distance of this race just seemed to find him out, but he travelled well enough to think he remains on a competitive mark when dropped back a bit in distance. The 8-year-old has time on his side.
Few managed to get into the race from the back but Petite Power did stay on into third.
Dramatic Finish to Lanzarote
The Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle isn’t the race it once was but still provided Kempton racegoers with a dramatic finish.
Burrow’s Edge looked to have no chance coming to three out his jockey’s persistence paid off, but he was a fortunate winner.
The well backed Debestyman had a three-length lead coming to the last but made a hash of the final hurdle and unseated his rider. But for that mistake he would surely have gone onto win.
Favourite Notre Pari didn't travel particularly well in the early part of the contest but managed to work his way back into contention. However, he looked booked for the places at best when taking a heavy fall at the last.
Millie’s Got Her Fingerontheswitch
The drying Kempton ground suited Fingerontheswitch in the 3m handicap chase. Held up at the back of the eight strong field and the way the race was run suited the 10-year-old who was produced to win his race between the last two and went clear to win by ten lengths.
Fingerontheswitch was given an excellent ride by young amateur Millie Wonnacott who must be seriously considering joining the professional ranks next season.
Ladies Riders Steal The Show
Besides Millie Wonnacott win on Fingerontheswitch, women jockeys won two other races on the Kempton card.
Eric Le Rouge was given a good ride by Lizzie Kelly to win the 2m 4 1/2 f handicap chase with the 6-year-old appreciating a return to a more forward ride.
The well fancied Sammy Bill seemed to find 2m 4f to short and could only finish third. Two from two since switching to fence. He shapes like he's worth a go over further. It's too early to write him off just yet.
Frodon provided Bryony Frost with a much-needed big race win in the Grade 2 Silviniaco Conti Chase.
Not at his best on his two starts this season Frodon bounced back to form and was clearly over the stomach ulcers that he suffered from in the Betfair Chase.
Last year’s Ryanair winner is being aimed at that race again and trainer Paul Nicholls will have him spot on for Cheltenham. Whose to say he can't defend his crown.
Haydock – Saturday January 18th
Peter Marsh Handicap Chase
Looking at the trends for the last nine renewals of the race. The results contain 9 winners from 105 runners 27 placed.
Eight of the last nine winners of the race fulfilled the following two trends.
Distance Move: Down 1f to up 1 ½ f;
Runs in Last 90-days: 2+ runs;
8 winners from 36 runners +45.5 13 placed.
The going is often testing at Haydock so it’s not surprisingly that winners need to have fitness on their side.
I will be using the trends to find my selection(s) for the race if you wish to get them you can join me here.
Last week’s each way selection Rotherwick finished third to land the place part of the bet. This Monday’s tip runs at Punchestown.
3:25 – The Church Gate has run respectably on both his starts this season and ran well enough when 5th at Leopardstown last time. Drops in class here and has 12-1 to carry but with Oakley Brown taking off a valuable 7lb he comes right into calculations.
The Church Gate
Until next week.
John Burke is the tipster behind the long standing Victor Value service you can join him here – https://victorvalue.uk