Good morning all,
We may be watching the dying embers of the flat season but there is still some top flat action remaining up next is Future Champion’s Weekend at Newmarket including the historic Cesarewitch Handicap and of course the following week we have Qipco Champion’s Day at Ascot. For National Hunt fans next weekend also see’s the first big weekend of jumps racing at Chepstow.
I have to confess although I have had made a profit for the last five weeks it's been a very tough period and I can't really wait for the Jumps season to kick in.
Roly win takes O’Brien closer to world record
Last weekend was fairly low key but there was good racing at both Ascot and Newmarket. The feature race at Newmarket was the Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes over a mile. Before the race, there was no standout horse in the field and to be fair even after it there wasn’t one either. Still, I shouldn’t take anything away from the winner Roly Poly who I doubted would do particularly well as a three-year-old but she has proved me wrong with this being her third Group 1 win. Her win was a testament once again to the training methods of Aiden O’Brien to get her to run as well as she has done this season. Roly Poly’s win gave the trainer his 23rd Group 1 win of the year which means he is now within 2 wins of Bobby Frankel’s all-time record and he must have a real chance now of equalling if not beating before the end of the year.
At Ascot jockey Vincent Cheminaud came in for a fair few brickbats after his ride on the 4/7 favourite Waldgeist in the Cumberland Lodge Stakes. In a modestly run race the colt was not in a good position in the rear of the field and he also made his effort on widest of all in the straight. In the circumstances, I thought he did well to finish as close as he did, indeed he was almost head-to-head with the eventual winner in final 100yds but for some reason, he didn’t seem to want to go past and was beaten a neck into second at the line. This was his first run for 98 days and I think he will come on for the run. If you got your fingers burnt on him on Saturday you might get your money back before the end of the season with a better ride.
One For The Tracker:
Lord Glitters was having his first run for trainer David O’Meara. A winner of his last two races in spring when trained in France was purchased for 270k Euros in the summer. The four-year-old went some way to repaying that large purchase price when a strong finishing, ½ length second in the Totescoop6 Challenge Cup. His best form in France seemed came with plenty of juice in the ground and he stayed 1m 2f so the 7f here would have been plenty short enough. He will surely be back for the Balmoral Handicap back here over a mile on Champion’s Day. Given how well he handled the surface and the extra furlong of the race he will take plenty of beating there. Whatever his fate in that race I am sure he will do well for connections in 2018.
Plenty of fairly low-grade action today with meetings at Pontefract, Salisbury, Windsor and now Musselburgh on turf as well as an additional twilight card at Kempton.
Trainer Jamie Osborne had a winner on Saturday at Wolverhampton and also saw his Raising Sand run a really good race to finish 4th in the Totescoop6 Handicap at Ascot. He has his horses running well at present. His record in handicaps in the two week period (14 days) either side of today’s date since 2014 is also a respectable 8 winners from 46 runners 17% +19.25 A/E 1.41 (profit to Betfair SP +31.15 14 placed 30%. If we look solely at his older horse’s 4-year-old’s + in handicaps, he has had 5 winners from 13 runners 38% +26.5 A/E 3.18 (profit to Betfair SP +32.54) 7 placed 53%. He runs Born To Finish in the 8:25 at Kempton. Whatever that horse's fate today it will also be worth noting the trainers recent Laytown winner Monteverdi who has a possible entry at Kempton on Wednesday.
8:25 – Born To Finish – The four-year-old is now 2lb his last winning mark (Feb 2017) and ran arguably his best race since joining the trainer when beaten ½ length into 3rd at Wolverhampton 16 days ago. A winner over C&D for his previous trainer Jeremy Gask he must have a great chance of adding to his four all weather wins in this class 5 handicap
Born To Finish – 5/1
All that’s left now is to wish you a profitable week’s punting.
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