Good morning all,
Wish I'd not bothered with Carlisle last night, but Mystic Meg might have struggled with those results.
Ascot for me today where I'm going to be working with the lovely Lawney Hill for one of her event days, and I've had a look at the card in the hope of doing better than yesterday!
Plus details of why your Sunday nights might be about to get a bit more exciting, all on the main piece.
1.30 – Novice Stakes
Cloak And Dagger (Clive Cox)
Patience starting to wear a bit thin now but he has the form to win this, and there are possible excuses for last two starts (pulled far too hard last time). Lovely looker.
Lyzbeth (Martyn Meade)
Probably the most likely of the newcomers today, related to a couple of winners and yard are 2-7 first time up with them over the past 12 months. Watch the market.
2.05 – Maiden Stakes
Bangkok (Andrew Balding)
Blindingly obvious after excellent debut effort at Newmarket where he was only just caught, and the time figure backs up the visuals. Takes plenty of beating.
Felix The Poet (Archie Watson)
Slight concern that he’s already gelded, suggesting he might have been hard to train, but yard are still being underrated and he’s 9-38 with them first time up over the past 12 months. Looks the e/w poke.
2.40 – 1m4f Handicap
What A Welcome (Pat Chamings)
The worry is that this could be falsely run – I’m struggling to find where the pace may come from – but What A Welcome has twice run slowly run races this year and might have a bit more pace than these. Goes from strength to strength and could easily defy the handicapper again after another game effort latest.
3.50 – 1m Classified Stakes
Graphite Storm (Clive Cox)
Only just denied over C&D last year, holds superb chance here as he comes here on back of best run for a while at Newbury and will get this run to suit (usually held up, Easy Tiger and Bullingdon should make this a good test).
Leader Writer (Henry Spiller)
Has become disappointing but now gets into this 0-90 event after another 2lb drop and is effectively better class than these. Placed on both starts at the track and another hold-up likely to get this run to suit. Could bounce back.
4.20 – 1m Handicap
Fire Brigade (Michael Bell)
Behind Shady McCoy here two starts ago but better pace here might help him more than it does the latter (who, for me, still isn't really a miler). Good overall record at the track and this is weak for the money.
4.55 – 6f Handicap
Blazed (Ed Walker)
Desperately unlucky at Windsor last time when continually denied gaps and would surely have gone close with a clear run. Wind op seemed to have helped. Pace is up the middle/low (Englishman, Daschas, Moon Song) so stall 13 should be fine for late effort.
Firmdecisions (Nigel Tinkler)
Worry is the winning post will come too soon, as 7f is really his trip, but comes here off back of excellent Leicester win and this straight, fast track will suit him. 25-1 looks too big for e/w purposes (Skybet paying 5 places makes plenty of appeal).
Today's selection – Fire Brigade 4.20 Ascot
Now just to say that I've finally convinced Daren to join Colossus as he really knows his American Football (purely stats based betting) and although he won't say so, as he's a modest man, he makes a few quid at it. So with Colossus offering a £100,000 Pick 7 on Sunday night he's put together a syndicate under his username (hitoutorgetout) for anyone that fancies throwing a few quid at it. I've chucked a tenner in and hopefully we can make this a regular Sunday night thing. Better than period dramas or X-Factor, surely?
The link is here for those that want to have a go with us – https://www.colossusbets.com/syndicates/join/pool/16808/1000000000041980