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Josh Wright of Betting Insiders and Racing to Profit has prepared the trends for the Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Hurdle…
1.50 Newbury: Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Hurdle
17 renewals since 1997
222 runners, 56 placed horses
***
TRENDS
Previous Place
- Nothing Significant
Horse Age
- 17/17 Aged 6-10
o 4/5: 0/8, 3 places
o 11+ : 0/15, 2 places
o 10yo: 1/21, 3 places
Days Since Run
- Not much of note
o 1-7 days: 0/7, 0 places
o 365 + ; 0/7, 0 places
Horse Weight
- Nothing significant
Horse Official Rating
- OR 135+ : 0/21, 4 places
Season Runs
- 0: 0/21, 1 place
Odds
- Winners at a wide range of odds.
o 50/1+ : 0/16, 1 place
OTHER STATS
Miscellaneous 1
Origin of Horse
- GB: 7/77, 20 places
- IRE: 7/110, 25 places
- FR: 3/25, 7 places
- USA: 0/8, 3 places
Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –
- Clear Top Weight: 4/14, 4 places, +38.5 SP
‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’
H – Run (career)
- 32+ : 0/23, 3 places
H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)
- 21+ handicap runs: 0/23, 3 places
H- Run (track)
- 3+ : 0/19, 3 places
The ‘Winning’ Characteristics
H-Win (Career)
- 6+ : 0/32, 7 places
Miscellaneous 2
Class Move
- Drop 3 or more classes: 0/11, 1 place
Highest Class Win
- Had won at Listed or higher: 0/24, 4 places
H-Places (NH Race type)
- 9 + hurdle places (inc wins): 0/26, 3 places
Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics
(LR) No. of Runners
- 2-5: 0/10, 0 places
(LR) Track
- Uttox: 2/13, 4 places
- Kempton: 2/29, 9 places
- Hayd: 2/10, 3 places
- Chepst: 2/10 3 places
- Winct: 2/14, 3 places
- Ascot: 2/13, 5 places
- 1 each: Punchest/Fontwell/Hunt/Donc/NewtonA
- Chelt: 0/16, 2 places
- Newb: 0/10, 2 places
- Warw: 0/11, 1 place
Trainers (of interest)
- N Henderson: 2/10, 2 places (only multiple winner)
- 1 win each: Nicholls/Sherwood/L Richards/Jonjo O’Neill/V Williams/D Pipe/V Dartnall/R Lee/A King/N Gifford/NTD/J Spearing
- P Hobbs: 0/14, 3 places
WINNING PROFILE?
This isn’t the strongest trends race of all time…
- OR 134 or below (small stats pool)
- Had run at least once this season
- 20 or fewer handicap runs
- 0-2 runs at track
- 5 or fewer career wins
- Yet to win at Listed or higher
A strict interpretation of that profile would leave:
Keltus/Salmanazar/Count Guido Deiro/Batvir/Millanisi Boy/Sykes/The Eaglehaslanded/Golden Milan
With only two jockeys booked on in the 18 runner field as I write on Thursday afternoon I will leave it at that for now. I will be back Saturday morning with a selection. The shortlisting worked well last week, shame I picked the wrong one again! Hopefully my decision making can improve for this one.
Today's Selection
13:35 Kempton Whats The Scoop – Win bet 7/2 Bet 365, Skybet
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