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Betfair Acca Edge Trends

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Josh Wright of Betting Insiders and Racing to Profit has prepared the trends for the Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Hurdle…

1.50 Newbury: Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Hurdle

17 renewals since 1997

222 runners, 56 placed horses

***

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • Nothing Significant

Horse Age

  • 17/17 Aged 6-10

o   4/5: 0/8, 3 places

o   11+ : 0/15, 2 places

o   10yo: 1/21, 3 places

Days Since Run

  • Not much of note

o   1-7 days: 0/7, 0 places

o   365 + ; 0/7, 0 places

Horse Weight

  • Nothing significant

Horse Official Rating

  • OR 135+ : 0/21, 4 places

Season Runs

  • 0: 0/21, 1 place

Odds

  • Winners at a wide range of odds.

o   50/1+ : 0/16, 1 place

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • GB: 7/77, 20 places
  • IRE: 7/110, 25 places
  • FR: 3/25, 7 places
  • USA: 0/8, 3 places

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Clear Top Weight: 4/14, 4 places, +38.5 SP

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H – Run (career)

  • 32+ : 0/23, 3 places

H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)

  • 21+ handicap runs: 0/23, 3 places

H- Run (track)

  • 3+ : 0/19, 3 places

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career)

  • 6+ : 0/32, 7 places

Miscellaneous 2

Class Move

  • Drop 3 or more classes: 0/11, 1 place

Highest Class Win

  • Had won at Listed or higher: 0/24, 4 places

H-Places (NH Race type)

  • 9 + hurdle places (inc wins): 0/26, 3 places

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) No. of Runners

  • 2-5: 0/10, 0 places

(LR) Track

  • Uttox: 2/13, 4 places
  • Kempton: 2/29, 9 places
  • Hayd: 2/10, 3 places
  • Chepst: 2/10 3 places
  • Winct: 2/14, 3 places
  • Ascot: 2/13, 5 places
  • 1 each: Punchest/Fontwell/Hunt/Donc/NewtonA
  • Chelt: 0/16, 2 places
  • Newb: 0/10, 2 places
  • Warw: 0/11, 1 place

Trainers (of interest)

  • N Henderson: 2/10, 2 places (only multiple winner)
  • 1 win each: Nicholls/Sherwood/L Richards/Jonjo O’Neill/V Williams/D Pipe/V Dartnall/R Lee/A King/N Gifford/NTD/J Spearing
  • P Hobbs: 0/14, 3 places

WINNING PROFILE?

This isn’t the strongest trends race of all time…

  • OR 134 or below (small stats pool)
  • Had run at least once this season
  • 20 or fewer handicap runs
  • 0-2 runs at track
  • 5 or fewer career wins
  • Yet to win at Listed or higher

A strict interpretation of that profile would leave:

Keltus/Salmanazar/Count Guido Deiro/Batvir/Millanisi Boy/Sykes/The Eaglehaslanded/Golden Milan

With only two jockeys booked on in the 18 runner field as I write on Thursday afternoon I will leave it at that for now. I will be back Saturday morning with a selection. The shortlisting worked well last week, shame I picked the wrong one again! Hopefully my decision making can improve for this one.

Today's Selection

13:35 Kempton Whats The Scoop – Win bet 7/2 Bet 365, Skybet

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