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Betfair Chase Preview & Warwick Selection

Morning all,

Looking forward the eyes of the jump racing fans will be on Haydock best jumps meeting of the season the Betfair Chase meeting ITV are covering four races live from Haydock including the Grade 3 stayers' handicap hurdle (2.25). The days feature race of course the Grade 1 Betfair Chase (3.00).

TV will also show two races live from Ascot, including the Grade 2 1965 Chase (2.05) and 2m1f handicap chase (3.15).

Inside today’s main piece I begin my look ahead to the weekend’s big race action. Plus, I have selection from Warwick.

Something for the Weekend – Part 1

Looks like it’ll be good to soft at worst on Saturday, as the forecast isn’t predicting much of the wet stuff at the Lancashire track this week. Oh boy, we could really do with some decent rainfall and with some much colder and even drier weather being forecast for next week it’s a situation that doesn’t look its going to change.


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Betfair Chase (Grade 1) – 3 1½ f

The ante post betting for the race is headed Cheltenham Gold Cup Runner-up A Plus Tard. Next in the betting is last years; winner Bristol De Mai who bids to emulate Kauto Star and win the race for a fourth time. Just nine horses stood their ground on Monday.

Looking at the key horses:

A Plus Tard is the class horse of the race on the back of his Gold Cup second. However, this is his seasonal reappearance and he’s yet to win off a 60+ day off.

Bristol De Mai just loves Haydock and this is his Gold Cup, on soft or heavy ground I think he would win but good to soft, has won on it in the past, I’m not sure.

Next Destination, a second season chaser just had the three starts over fences last season and ended last season with a 1½ lengths 2nd of 12 to Galvin in National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham. However, that did come over 5f further and on a stiffer track.

Royal Pagaille is another who goes well here 2-2 and I have long thought this would be an ideal race for the 7-year-old. However, his best form has come on soft/heavy and quicker ground will put his jumping under pressure.

Waiting Patiently has switched from the Ruth Jefferson yard and would be having his first start for Christian Williams. He was never the easiest to keep sound but he’s got the back class to go close if retaining his ability and first time could be time to catch him.

Imperial Aura beat Galvin at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival. He won his first two starts last season but unseated his rider at Kempton and pulled up in the Ryanair Chase on his final start, was said to have bled. Best form so far over shorter but stays 3m and isn’t totally out of it.

Verdict:

It’s a real if, buts and maybe race. The favourite normally needs his first start. Bristol De Mai would prefer some rain. Next Destination will surely need a stronger stamina test. Royal Pagaille is another with ground concerns. Both Waiting Patiently and Imperial Aura are contenders but have questions about wellbeing to answer.

Wednesday Racing

Yesterday’s selection Glittering Love was below form at Ayr. The winner of the race was Irish raider Shanroe Al C made it 4-5 when coming over to the UK and in the process showed once again that the Irish horses remain better handicapped than their British rivals. It’s something to keep an eye on in the coming weeks.

Today’s jumps action is from Warwick, Ffos Las and Hexham and there’s a tea time all weather card at Dundalk.

Warwick

2:50 – Potter’s Legend won this veterans’ chase last year on his seasonal return, off 5lb lower and looks to have a decent chance of back-to-back win with his yard being 3-10 with its runners in the past 14-days. Head To The Stars has a better chance than his odds suggest if running to his best. However, he’s a bit of an unreliable character as his recent form figures of 1PPP1P show.

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

Potters Legend – 6/1 @ Ladbrokes

Good luck with your Thursday bets.

John

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