Good morning all,
Annoyingly, I missed the Lingfield Colossus by the width of a fag paper yesterday, with Uncle Jerry getting nailed on the line for second in the 1.55. Never mind, we push on, and as I have once again done a card for the Sporting Life – Catterick this time – it makes sense to have another crack at it. They will be up around 10.30.
My thoughts on each race are on the main piece.
Race 1 – Juvenile Hurdle
Awkward opener. Groveman might be the one to be with if he can jump fluently, as he wasn’t far off the best of these on the Flat and the quicker the ground, the happier he will be. He’s worth putting in as many will go for the ones with experience. Of those, Bodes Well really needs to turn it around and Warren Greatrex is struggling for winners, so Travel Lightly and Dagian make most appeal. I’m not convinced about Gemologist’s second last time out.
Race 2 – Novice Hurdle
The worry here is whether Uno Mas will take his place. It was interesting that he was entered up only once the race was reopened yesterday, so maybe the plan was to win yesterday and then come here under a penalty. My guess is he won’t run, which means we’ll be down to four.
Come On Charlie looks the one to beat but this might not be a penalty kick, especially with the step up in trip. Leodis will stay well and could improve, and Braddan Head has one bit of form (at Warwick for another yard) that gives him a chance. How I play this depends on the number of runners….
Race 3 – Novice Chase
Again, another that looks a penalty kick and indeed Mistress Massini should win if in the same form as she was last time, although I would say that the horse she beat, Follow The Swallow, is something of a specialist at getting beat. Holy Street might not be entirely hopeless and Laura Morgan might be able to fish a bit of improvement out of him. The other two need miracles, although Spinning Scooter has one piece of form (at Hexham last September) that gives some hope.
Race 4 – Novice Hurdle
Mythical Prince needs a bundle of improvement to get anywhere near the other pair, and of them, The Some Dance Kid is readily preferred. That Bangor form from November is as good a piece of novice form you’ll find from a “minor” track – everything that was in the first five has won again since. If he stays he wins, but as that’s not a guarantee, we’ll have to put Skidoosh in as well.
Race 5 – Handicap Chase
There are worries for one or two of these – ground for Same Circus and Western Jo, and I’m not convinced Greyed A is up to this class. That leaves us three. Sharp Response has plenty going for him, as he’ll stay and won’t mind the ground, Little Bruce is improving and likely to take them along, and Vieux Lille has to be of interest simply because Jamie Snowden brings few runners here but has had two winners. Tricky, and I might have to put all three in.
Race 6 – Handicap Hurdle
Hopefully the dead 8 line up (update – they won't, Lostock Hall is out. Bah!) Baratineur will be top of most people’s lists and rightly so – well handicapped, conditions no problem and has joined a yard going very well. Be hard to keep out of the frame with a repeat of that last run. If he fails to fire, then Canadian George will do fine as a back-up. Only 4 and has shown a bit over hurdles, gets the weight allowances and you can expect better again now he goes handicapping. Lo
If you just want one today then Canadian George looks a fair price to turn the favourite in the 3.15.
Good luck with all your bets today,