Today's article is a bit last minute because the regular Wednesday post has been delayed, so apologies if it lacks a little polish.
I've been looking back through my National Hunt systems to see what we can use this year and I've been experimenting with the notion of horses winning when they move up in class.
Basically I've taken a system that had a bad year and played about with it to see who did profit from the angle in question.
I've not finished with it yet and don't know if this is a goer but here's what I've got so far.
We're looking at Beginner and Novice National Hunt races and specifically at 4 and 5 year olds moving up in class.
And at the moment I am drilling down to find which trainers are profitable with these horses.
Here's the list of trainers I have that have profited…
Egerton, C R
Ferguson, J P
Henderson, N J
Johnson, J Howard
Keane, D P
King, N B
Lavelle, Miss E C
Walton, Mrs K
West, Miss Sheena
Williams, Miss Venetia
Some well known and some not so much.
The 2013 results for horses sent out by these trainers in beginner type races is as follows…
Runs = 97
Wins = 19
Strike Rate = 20%
Profit at iSP = 68.58
ROI at iSP = 70.7%
In 2014 so far it's…
Runs = 42
Wins = 9
Strike Rate = 21%
Profit at iSP = 76.72
ROI at iSP = 182.67%
I don't know if I'm onto something with this or am just reporting something that happened in the past, but I'll keep working at it and see what selections this initial idea throws up.
Got an idea to improve it? Post it in the comments 😉
5.35 Wetherby Mr Moonshine – eachway bet – 13/2 Bet 365