Following on from yesterday's research into a possible new National Hunt system we had one comment (thanks Kenny) with suggestions for further research. So today I'll look into the figures a bit further and see what we can dig up.
First off I looked at race distance for the horses that were up in class for the trainers we selected.
Here's the data I was returned…
From this I can see that some distances have proven to be more profitable than others in the past.
But I can think of no logical reason why some distances would have a higher strike rate and more profit. For example why would 2 mile and 1/2 a furlong races be profitable but 2 mile 1 furlong races not be. It's only a hundred meters further!
However it's worth noting that the majority of these race types are 2 mile races, and they are very profitable.
Next I looked at courses, here's the overall table…
We can see that some are very profitable and some very unprofitable. I'm sure we could think up reasons why some would be more profitable than others, but I suppose what we really should do is to pick just one of our trainers and break down the data for course and distance for just that trainer and see if we can build a profile for these types of runners for each trainer.
So I'll put that on my to do list for next week and we'll see if we can drill down and build a collection of winning profiles.
There's no bets for the original system idea yet, if you missed it you can read it here
Today's Selection
3.30 Uttoxeter Carningli – win bet – evens Bet 365
Extra Tips for Subscribers - Free
If you'd like to be notified each time we update the Daily Punt please enter you email address below and click the Subscribe button.
Every update includes extra racing tips not published on site.
When you subscribe to the Daily Punt we will email you 6 days per week to notify you of the new blog post & free horse racing tip, we may also occasionally send you related material (systems & strategies etc). These emails will sometimes contain promotional messages for other services and occasionally we will email you with other marketing messages in line with our Privacy Policy
Great bit of research. Many thanks.
Would the class of race have any influence?
Thanks for the fantastic research !!!
Can’t wait to see next weeks follow up, as I’m sure trainers must have favoured courses & horses for courses?
Would also be interested in 2nd/3rd time out in upped in class race results.Reason being that I’m not always convinced horses are given the reigns for the 1st or 2nd run to boost the odds for a bit of a sting??
Or am I just seeing ghosts 🙂