Good morning all,
Still very busy moving house but had time on Wednesday to have a look at today’s card. Again, the TV races looked at, best of luck…
2.20 Doncaster – Sceptre Stakes (7f)
This has the look of an open contest. Those with the best chance on ratings are hardly setting the world alight at present – Pretty Baby has been well beaten (admittedly in contests a bit stronger than this) and Angels Hideaway hasn’t looked a happy horse in two starts at Goodwood. Possible a return to a more conventional track might help, but the jury is out at present.
Mot Juste was one I wanted to follow this season but she’s not gone forward and is held by one or two of these, and similarly Sunday Star was one I thought would do well this year. She did at least get her head in front at Newmarket in July, but two efforts since haven’t been as good. This really does look a lottery.
I’m tempted to try California Love, who has plenty to find on bare form but is at least progressive, which has to count for something, and 3yos do have a decent record in the race. Fille De Reve looks to have lost the plot completely but maybe the blinkers could have an effect (as they did for her half-sister Sulalaat) and the step back up to 7f might help. It’s a quick turnaround from a dreadful effort at Ascot last week, so clearly nothing physical is wrong, and although she is very risky it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise if she was to bounce back.
2.40 Doncaster – 1m6f Handicap
With stamina doubts about a couple of these, and the possibility of this being run at a crawl, some caution is advised. Having said that, I’m a little surprised that Charles Kingsley, who has run very consistently since tackling 14f, is some four points bigger than form choice Saroog, as I don’t see there being much between the two of them and tactically, this could suit Charles Kingsley if they decide to go from the front with him (tried it at York two runs ago, ran to form).
3.10 Doncaster – Doncaster Cup (2m2f)
No interest in this as a betting contest – Dee Ex Bee, good as he is, keeps on seeing the back end of Stradivarius and I see no reason, especially on this ground, why he is going to reverse the form. Stradivarius might only be doing enough to win these days, so maybe best not to get lured in by those “distance” bets that the big firms are keen on offering, but if he runs his race, he’ll probably win again.
3.45 Doncaster – Flying Childers (5f)
Another race I’m happy to sit out. (Sorry.) A’Ali, twice a Group 2 winner already this season, and the improving Alligator Alley, who came from a pretty difficult position to win at York last time (form boosted by Streamline at the weekend) are head and shoulders above these on form, and it will take either the pair to run well below form or for something to take a big step forward for one of them not to win. Wheels On Fire is moderately interesting on his first start for a new yard, and you can argue he shouldn’t be four times the price of Alligator Alley given there’s only just over a length between then on their Molecomb form, but very fast ground would be a worry. Happy to take a pass…
Today’s selection – California Love (e/w) 2.20 Doncaster