Today we have a guest post from Darren Power of the Betting School Insiders Club.
The Betting Insiders is one of my favourite resources for finding winning strategies and systems for racing and football. As well as tips everyday from the Betting Insiders systems portfolio members also get a 52 page monthly report filled with new systems, strategies and advice from people who make money from their betting.
One of the key factors that we exploit for betting profits at Betting Insiders is the habits of trainers.
The fact is that trainers operate like any other business, in that they work to systems and processes. They might not be as formalised as the manual you have to read if you work somewhere like Starbucks, but they have processes all the same.
The thing is that like us trainers want to win, so if they come up with a method that gets them regular winners then they will use it year after year.
If we as punters can identify these methods, then we can follow along and profit also.
We retain one of the foremost trainer trends experts in the country, Mark ‘statman' Foley and it was his knowledge and research that uncovered the strategy I'm going to share with you today.
Flat racing is a very competitive game which is dominated by big players. This especially true in two year old races.
Once the big stables start running their expensive juveniles the smaller trainers struggle to find winners.
These big stables traditionally don't come out to play until around June.
If you're a smaller trainer one way that you can get some winners is if you get your two year olds ready early before the big boys come out to play.
So the way we profit from juveniles in April and May is to follow the trainers that employ this strategy.
There are a lot of them and a few hours on Horse Race Base should set you up with a list of trainers to follow and a few more hours will identify the winning conditions for that trainer.
Here's an example.
David Barron – has an incredible record at this time of year with 53 winners showing a 37% return on investment since 2003; you would only have made a loss following these blindly in one year since 2006.
However by eliminating the stables weak spots we can enhance those figures even more. The market was a good guide with only 2 winners priced bigger than 20/1, whilst only 3 came in the better class races; the record was also far better over shorter trips.
By concentrating on the runners priced 20/1 or less in Class 4 or lower races run over 8f or shorter, those already impressive figures look even better.
The record was particularly impressive at the AW tracks, but also impressive were local courses Thirsk (7 from 29) and Pontefract (4 from 13 for a 281% ROI). Maiden races and the younger horses in particular excelled at this time of year. The juveniles won 9 of their 41 races for a 30% ROI and the stable’s 3yo runners won 17 from 68 for a very healthy 114% return.
This is just 1 of 12 trainers that we have identified as profitable during the early season and Betting Insiders members can get the full list along with qualifying bets each day.
Ludlow 3.40 Divers – eachway bet – 5/1 Bet 365, Paddy Power, Sky Bet