Good morning all,
It’s the second part of my look back at the weekend. Today I’m focusing on a handful of performances from Market Rasen & Punchestown and I have one for the tracker. Plus, I have selection from Exeter.
Market Rasen survived the weather on Saturday. It was good that it did because it witnessed arguably the performance of the weekend.
Come on Eileen
It’s not often you see a National Hunt Flat race on ITV racing. On Saturday ITV showed the mares’ bumper on Saturday which was won in scintillating style by the Pam Sly trained Eileendover.
The 4-year-old, home bred and granddaughter of the trainers 1000 Guineas winning heroine Speciosa. Produced a potent turn of foot to put four lengths between herself and her rivals coming to the final furlong to seal victory.
After the race there was speculation about her going for the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival. This proved premature as it looks like connections will sidestep the festival and instead send her to Aintree for the Mares’ Bumper. It makes sense, given connections are aiming her at a flat campaign this summer with the aim of getting her some black type. The Aintree track will suit the flat bred filly much better than the undulations of Cheltenham.
Betfair Hurdle for Edward
Edwardstone returned to hurdling at Market Rasen on Saturday. The 7-year-old who had unseated his rider on his chase debut at Doncaster last month, proved too classy for his three rivals in the Class 2 handicap hurdle at the Lincolnshire track. A classy novice last season he looks capable of landing a decent handicap hurdle before the season is out. With his chase career shelved at least for this season, trainer Alan King is aiming him at the Betfair Handicap Hurdle at Newbury next month. He’s a best priced 12/1 for that race and looks a serious contender for that valuable prize.
The big race action moved across the Irish Sea to Punchestown on Sunday.
Envoi marches on
The much-awaited clash between Envoi Allen and Asterion Forlonge turned into an ante climax with the latter falling at the first fence.
Asterion Forlonge has now failed to complete on his last two starts over fences. A highly talented hurdler he’s just become a bit of a liability when it comes to the larger obstacles and badly needs his confidence restored.
Envoi Allen now unbeaten on his three starts over fences. We learnt nothing new about him on Sunday. He’s remains a neat and efficient jumper of a fence with a great engine. The best novice chaser about for sure and I really can’t see him being beaten at Cheltenham.
He's the Dreal Deal
The Dreal Deal has been a revelation since winning a Navan Handicap Hurdle, off 84 in September. Since then, he’s won twice on the flat and now three times over hurdles, after winning the Grade 2 Moscow Flyer Novices’ Hurdle on Sunday.
A 7/1 poke in the early betting he drifted out to a ‘crazy’ 22/1 at the off. Due in the main to negative vibes about his pre-race preparation.
The mare Echoes of Rain set a furious gallop form the start which suited the winner who was given the ideal hold up ride at the back by Dennis O’Regan. Last two out. He still had plenty of ground to make up between the final two furlongs but the strong gallop told on those in front of the 6-year-old whose guaranteed stamina came into play on the run in.
It looks the Supreme Novices Hurdle now for Dreal Deal for which he’s a general 20/1. A strongly run Supreme will suit the gelding and maybe the ‘rags to riches’ story hasn't ended just yet.
Ronan McNally last time out winners
The Dreal Deal’s trainer Ronan McNally certainly knows how to place his last time out winners. Sunday’s win means the trainer is now 20 winners from 37 runners 54% +62.86 28 placed 76%. Backing such qualifiers to Betfair SP saw the profit rise to a whopping +177.21. Watch out for those Ronan McNally last time out winners as they usually win on their next start.
One for the tracker
Entoucas – Joseph O’Brien
Entoucas runner-up on his first three starts over fences was running on 4th of 14 in the valuable Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse on Saturday. He wasn’t knocked about when his jockey realised he couldn”t win and there is a decent prize in the 7-year-old.
3:45 – Don Herbager is a maiden after eight starts under rules but he’s only had the two starts over the larger obstacles. A ½ length runner-up at Lingfield on his chase debut, before finishing a close-up 3rd of 14 here over 2m 5f, last time out. He’s up 5lb for that effort but still looks competitively weighted. The step back up to 3m should be fine and he goes well on soft/heavy ground. There is a race like this in the 7-year-old.
Don Herbager – 11/4 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook
Good luck with your Tuesday bets.
John Burke is the tipster behind the long standing Victor Value service you can join him here – https://victorvalue.uk