Good morning all,
We are starting to settle down into a bit more of a proper schedule with the racing after the lockdown now, but I have to say I can't wait until the beginning of July and we get some jump racing back. I know it'll only be minor summer jumps stuff, but all this Flat racing is making my head spin!
Anyway, seeing as I'm not allowed anywhere near a racecourse at present it's given me plenty of time to watch races from home, and here are three I think ought to be winning a race sometime in the next few weeks.
Swift Approval (Stuart Williams)
Ran Kempton 10/6, 7f
Stuart Williams is just starting to have the odd winner now, but he’s been a little slow to get going and many of his are needing a run. Old Swift Approval, now 8 years old, is one of those that normally takes a run or two to oil the gears, and this run was particularly eyecatching.
In fact, it was so eyecatching I’m rather surprised it didn’t catch the attention of a few others, as the horse appeared to be rather tenderly handled all the way up the home straight, running on well under fairly minimal pressure from Oisin Murphy to finish fourth, beaten just over three lengths. Now, I’ll be the first to admit that he’s the sort that can occasionally catch the eye only to disappoint next time, and maybe he is a bit of a tricky customer, but all the same, you were sat waiting for the finishing effort to come, and it never really did.
He’s back on a winning mark now, and I expect his turn to win again isn’t far away.
Ready Freddie Go (Ollie Pears)
Ran Newcastle 4/6, 6f
It’s easy to get lost in the blizzard of 2yo races that there are at present – it seems every trainer going has at least one horse they want to get out before Royal Ascot, but as ever I’ve got one eye to the future and to that extent, Ready Freddie Go really caught the eye on his Newcastle debut earlier in the month.
From the pictures I saw, he was one of the better lookers in the race and so it was pleasing to see him travel nicely at the back of the field and move through the pack with some ease, suggesting he has a gear or two. When push came to shove his greenness kicked in and for a few strides he didn’t know what to do, but he ran on willingly late to finish a very respectable sixth, not beaten that far.
He’s a half-brother to Roaring Rory, owned and trained by the same connections and they did get a win out of him as a 2yo. He’s entered up at Beverley next week but I would worry a little about the ground if it’s still on the soft side, he might want better than that. Nevertheless, put him in trackers as even if he doesn’t win Wednesday, I’m sure there’s a little race or two in him.
Double Up (Ian Williams)
Ran Newmarket 4/6, 6f
Putting up a 9yo that hasn’t won since 2017 seems like some sort of madness, but bear with me here…
That first day of the Guineas meeting at Newmarket saw two things – one, a pace bias towards anything that was a front runner and two, anything drawn near the rail seemed at an advantage too. Jump out, grab rail and make all was very much the order of the day, so much so that blaze-away merchant Bungee Jump, who is normally reaching for the oxygen tanks late on, was able to scoot in by 5½l in the event after, barely knowing he’d had a race.
To that extent, the fact that Double Up, who had drawn stall 1 and got no cover out in the middle of the track, was able to get within a couple of lengths of winner Highly Sprung (drawn 10 of 11) in the previous race, the 4.45, represents a pretty good effort to me. He tried to make his move 2f out but was simply in the wrong part of the track to do so, and young Cieran Fallon probably had to go a bit sooner than he would have liked as well.
Whatever Double Up’s problems were in 2019 he seems over them now, and his last couple of efforts have been much more encouraging. Better still he got a 2lb drop for this effort, which puts him on a mark of 70. Connections can take a drop in class if they want to, and I’m convinced he’s going to dish out a right pasting to a moderate lot sooner rather than later. Could even go on a winning run, he’s that well handicapped on old form – his last win came of a mark of 100! Yes, 100!
Not much I fancy today, but in the hope that Newbury gets a deluge later I have backed Stormy Antarctic for the Diomed tomorrow (the 3.35) as his form on soft is as good, if not better, than anything in the race. If it rains, his price should shorten considerably. For today, Alianne must have a fair chance of success in the 3.00 at Wolverhampton, given her trainer Tom Clover can do little wrong at present. Even on what she has acheived to date she'd have a fair chance, but now she steps into handicaps you can expect better. Nicely drawn in stall 2, this is not the strongest contest, and I'm hoping she can continue the yard's good run.
Good luck with all your bets today,