Today we have our regular weekly column from Malcolm Pett of GreyHorseBot.com
In the last couple or articles we have been looking at the results from an interactive test we have been doing over at the Grey Horse Bot website.
Part of this test is also to discover if it is better to be on all the selections or to stop at the first winner of the day.
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I picked 220 or above as my rating figure (see later why this may still be to low).
It hasn’t been the best of weeks for this number and it was only because of a 6.3 winner a couple of days ago that we are still showing any profit for this month.
This is a bit of a shame as it was a lot more positive last week…
…But that’s racing for you.
I am a statistical type of person so I don’t like to blame the weather.
And I do know this…
Favourites average prices tend to drop slightly in the winter.
I am not sure why but it could be that there are less races so they are more heavily backed than they normally would be.
But a quick check on the averages over the last couple of years shows that from the height in the summer of 3.5 (sometimes higher) in the winter this can drop to around 3.1.
And although the strike rate of this particular system has dropped off slightly…
…The amount of favourites winning is slightly better than the norm this month.
Which again, strangely, seems to happen around the winter months.
But back to the system test…
I am still not convinced that SAW is the best way to go but it is going to take more testing to actually make that decision.
If you crank the ratings figure up to 240 then things look a little better for all selections and it may be my choice of 220 was still a little low.
This will probably be my last report about this test for a few weeks.
Unless something amazing happens!
You can see the results from this test and get the daily selections here.
The Grey Horse Bot
2:00 Lingfield Ershaad – win bet 5/6 Bet Victor