Good morning all,
Normally AirB&B's tend to be a bit hit-and-miss, I find, but I've hit upon a beauty here in Wetherby. Lovely room and superb Full English for under thirty quid a night, the woman running the place is literally giving it away. So I'm raring to go for Day 2 of York now, and hopefully today's picks will run better than yesterday's….
1.50 – 5f Handicap
There’s pace all over the shop here, with Abel Handy, Tommy Taylor and Justanotherbottle all likely to blaze away among the low numbers, Harome and Orvar in the middle and Foolaad and Eeh Bah Gum high. The last named of those makes some appeal, as he’ll strip a lot fitter for his Musselburgh outing and he impressed when making all to score here last year. Maybe he’s just a little too high in the handicap, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran well.
I’m taking a flyer with Royal Birth, who rarely gets to run over a straight 5f on fast ground these days but it does suit him, as will the fast pace and seemingly very quick ground, if yesterday’s times are anything to go by. He’s one of these horses you need to ride for luck, more often than not, but he’s on a very good mark compared to his all-weather exploits and from the nearside stall in 22, he’s worth chancing at a big price.
3.35 – Hambleton Handicap (1m)
How many of them can actually win this? Not many of them are winners in the grade, that's for sure, just a handful in fact.
It's hard not to see how Beringer isn't bang there at the finish. Since being dropped back to a mile he's proved a revelation, third in the Lincoln and following that up with a last-gasp win at Newmarket last time out. The handicapper has only put him up 3lb for that, which gives him every chance, and his record in the grade of a win and four places from 6 starts in it looks pretty decent.
Recent Thirsk scorer Hayadh seemed to benefit from the step back up to 1m there and still looks on a fair enough mark, so it's hard to see why he's such a price and Just Hiss has plenty of course form to his name (although might want some cut). The fly in the ointment could be Simon Crisford's Mutafani, who won his last two starts of last season with plenty in hand, and will need to be winning races like this if he's to get into the bigger summer handicaps. I expect the market will tell you all about his chances.
Today's selection – Royal Birth (e/w) 1.50 York
Good luck with all your bets today,