Good Morning all,
Day two of ‘Glorious’ Goodwood. It looks a good card with plenty of betting opportunities.
The highlight of a seven-race card is the Group 1 Sussex Stakes and its fascinating race. Yep, there are only seven runners but they include the English & Irish 2000 Guineas winners Kameko and Siskin, three-time Group 1 winner Circus Maximus and the back to form Mohaather. Add in Wichita and potential improver Vatican City and you have the makings of the race of the meeting, if not the season.
The big race action doesn’t end with the Sussex Stakes. Across the Irish Sea the feature race is the Galway Plate which is the biggest jumps race of the season.
You can read my thoughts on some of the Goodwood races and the Galway Plate inside the main piece.
1:10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f
Waliyak heads the market after a career best effort in finishing runner-up in the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot. She’s bred to improve for today’s step up to 1m 2f and looks the one to beat.
However, at the prices I’m going to take here on with Dean Street Doll. The 4-year-old finished fifth in last year’s Irish 1000 Guineas for her previous trainer before seemingly losing her way. Now with David Menuisier, last time out she ran well to finish 4th of 7 at Sandown 24-days ago. She’s unexposed over 1m 2f, that was just her second run over the distance, and has dropped 1lb since Sandown. Ryan Moore who rode her last time stays in the saddle and I think she can go well.
1:45 – Unibet You're On Goodwood Handicap (Class 2) – 2m 4 ½ f
At the prices there are two catch my eye;
Oleg a winner over fences last Autumn returned from a winter break to win on the fibresand at Southwell. He then followed up at Pontefract over 2m 1f last month. Has only been raised 3lb for that win and remains on a winnable mark.
The other I like is the Mark Johnston trained Rochester House who finished 5th in the Ascot Stakes, doing his best work at the finish that day. Reproduced that form when 5th in the Marsh Cup. The step back up in trip should be in his favour and he can continue to run well.
2:15 – Unibet 3 Boosts A Day Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 4f
Win O’Clock, a winner at Haydock, finished 7th of 17 in the King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot. Dropped back to 1m 2f posed no problem for the son of Australia, as he beat two rivals at Leicester down in Class 4 company. Up 4lb, in a better race but he remains progressive and should run well.
2:45 – Markel Insurance Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) – 5f
Irish raider Steel Bull created a very favourable impression when winning a maiden auction at Naas just 7-days ago. Knew his job that day and looks a useful juvenile. Interesting that connections turn him out quickly for this and I think he can close with normal improvement.
3:15 – Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) – 1m
I think this is between Siskin & Mohaather. Both have a good turn of foot but the drying ground just makes me favour the Irish 2000 Guineas winner who looks capable of even better.
4:20 – Theo Fennell Handicap (Class 3) – 7f
Just the twenty runners for the ‘lucky last’.
Society Lion, trained by Sir Michael Stoute, is sure to be popular after his good second at Doncaster 24-days ago. He travelled like a good horse that day and showed notable change of gear to take up the running a furlong out. On the negative side he has a wide draw in 16 to overcome though!
Dirty Rascal has yet to hit form on his three starts this season but did win this race 12 months ago and has dropped down to the same mark. This track clearly suits and he can’t be ruled out from a handy low draw. Each way claims.
Toro Strike, a winner at Thirsk as a juvenile, finished a close-up third in a C&D nursery at this meeting 12 months ago before finishing third in a valuable Sales race at Doncaster on his final start of 2019. Shaped well when 5th of 22 in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot on his return to action. The 3-year-old is going the right way and shouldn’t be inconvenienced by the drop back to 7f. Osin Murphy has been booked for the ride and he’s 3 wins from 3 rides +12 when combining with trainer Richard Fahey.
6:45 – Tote Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade A) – 2m 6 ½ f
With €118,000 on offer to the winner this historic handicap chase has attracted the usual strong field. Of the 22 runners you can make some sort of case for 17 of them which just shows how competitive a renewal it is.
Recent Killarney winner Galvin heads the market for Gordon Elliott, that was the 6-year-old’s first win over fences but he was an excellent second to Imperial Aura in the novices’ handicap chase at the Cheltenham Festival. Big chance if his jumping holds up in this company.
The two I like are:
Royal Rendezvous, trained by Willie Mullins is the choice of Paul Townend. Two from over four over fences last season. The 8-year-old ended last season with a last gasp success in a Grade 3 at Naas in March. A decent looking opening handicap chase mark and he won here over hurdles two years ago.
Besides the favourite, Gordon Elliott also saddles Three Musketeers who landed a valuable big field handicap hurdle at Aintree on his debut for the trainer in April 2019. Just the two starts since but returned from a 435-day absence to finish 2nd of 14 in the Midlands National at Kilbeggan 19-days ago. Up 4lb, but Conor McNamara has been booked to take off 5lb. A reproduction of that run would give the 10-year-old an each way chance here.
1:10 – Dean Street Doll – 11/1 @ Bet365 & Coral
2:15 – Win O’Clock – 5/1 @ Bet365 & Coral
Good luck with your bets
John Burke is the tipster behind the long standing Victor Value service you can join him here – https://victorvalue.uk