by John Burke

July 30, 2020

Good morning all,

Well the “Duel on the Downs’ lived up to the hype. I said it might end up being the race of the season and if we do see a better one then we’re in for a treat.

Before I look at today’s action at Goodwood, I have to look back on yesterday”s Sussex Stakes.

Mohaather motors home

As had been expected. Ryan Moore pushed Circus Maximus into the lead although the early gallop wasn’t strong.  Ryan went for home on the leader coming to two out and almost produced the perfect front running ride.

Meanwhile Mohaather could be seen travelling powerfully in midfield but needing a gap. No gap came and jockey Jim Crowley had to switch his mount left to get a clear run. Once in the clear, he produced his trademark burst of acceleration to mow down the long-time leader in the final 50yds. In the end, it was tidy win by the 4-year-old.

Favourite Siskin was also travelling well in the rear with jockey Colin Keane who made his move two furlongs out. He got first run on his Mohaather but in truth never really looked like he would pass Circus Maximus. Still it was a good effort by the Irish 2000 Guineas winner in third who just got outstayed.

Kameko looked a shade unlucky. Boxed in on the rail. He couldn't find a gap and once he found it the race was over.

Kameko wasn’t knocked about when his chance had gone and finished fourth, 3 ¼ lengths behind the winner. Even with a clear passage it’s hard to say he would have beaten Mohaather, who didn’t get best of runs either. A speed favouring track like Goodwood doesn't really play to his strengths. A stiffer mile and more strongly run though and the outcome may be different.

Horse racing was the big winner of the Sussex Stakes.

What a race!  I loved every second of it and I didn’t even have a penny on the outcome.

Goodwood – Day 3

Onto today’s action. Unlike yesterday there's not many that I fancy. Indeed it could pay to concentrate on those at the front end of the market. 

No winning tips yesterday although Dean Street Doll ran well to finish third and hopefully some of you were on Steel Bull and/or Toro Strike who I had advised to Victor Value subscribers at 7/1 in the morning.

I have had a look at three races from Goodwood, including the Group 1 Nassau Stakes at 3:15.

1:45 – Unibet You're On Handicap (Class 2) – 1m 2f

Zabeel Champion had no issues with soft ground when winning at Newmarket 20-days ago. A previous winner on good he looks fairly ground versatile. Up 8lb for his last win demands more but given he’s only had five career starts more progress could be forthcoming.

Magnetised looked a useful prospect when winning a heavy ground maiden at Doncaster on his racecourse debut last October. The colt showed he had trained on when runner-up in a Thirsk novice 24-days ago. There should be more to come and an opening handicap mark of 87 could be lenient if he handles the track.

Luigi Vampa made a promising seasonal return when 5th in a Newmarket handicap last month. Unseated his jockey at the start at Haydock and has since been gelded. Each way claims for the in form David Menuisier yard.

Verdict: The form of the David Menuisier stable makes Luigi Vampa interesting. However, Zabeel Champion and Magnetised both have the look of improvers and look the ones to focus on.

3:15 – Qatar Nassau Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) – 1m 2f

Seven fillies go to post for the feature race of day three. The first thing you notice is the lack of pace. This race could turn very tactical.

Fancy Blue built on the promise of her 2nd of 11 in the Irish 1000 Guineas when landing the Group 1 Prix de Diane (French Oaks) at Chantilly 25-days ago. Just the four career starts and is open to more progress. It will be interesting if Ryan Moore decides to make the running with the 3-year-old.

Nazeef has won her last six starts over the past 12 months. Moving from handicap company, to winning the Group 2 Duke of Cambridge at Royal Ascot and last time out making a winning step up into Group 1 company in the Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket. First run over 1m 2f but should stay and could improve again. Has give to 9lb to Fancy Blue but could be suited by a tactical race.

Magic Wand ran well in finishing 4th to Ghaiyyath in the Eclipse. The better ground, the better her chance, and she must be respected back against her own sex.

Deirdre was one place behind Magic Wand in the Eclipse. The 6-year-old was giving away race fitness to Magic Wand that day, should be all the better for that run and can finish ahead of that one here. Won this last year and has a good chance of back to back wins in the race with drying ground in her favour.

Verdict: This race could turn tactical which may not suit Deirdre. Nazeef won a tactical race last time so won't be inconvenienced if this comes down to a test of speed rather than stamina.

4:55 – Tatler Nursery Handicap (Class 2) – 5f

Another nursery handicap concludes today’s action.

Winter Power, trained by Tim Easterby, bolted up on her nursery debut three days ago. Will be hard to beat under her 6lb penalty, if in the same form.

Acklam Express built on the promise of her Beverley racecourse debut when winning at Hamilton 18-days ago.   Capable of more improvement now stepping into handicap company and can get into the places.

Golden Bear has shaped with promise on both starts over 6f and has been gelded since finishing 5th of 11 at Windsor 44-days ago. Interesting on handicap debut back down to 5f and has each way claims.

Verdict: Winter Power will take some stopping under her penalty but Acklam Express looks worthy of some each way support.

Goodwood selections:

3:15 – Nazeef – 11/4 @ Bet365

4:55 – Acklam Express – 13/2 @ William Hill

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Good luck with your bets

John

Disclaimer: All views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TGH Trading Ltd or it's employees.

About the author 

John Burke

John Burke is a long term tipster at the Victor Value service, a contributor to On Course Profits and of course a regular contributor here at the Daily Punt. If you want all of John's selections every weekend and his horses to follow – Click Here https://dailypunt.com/jb

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