There’s racing at Pontefract this afternoon, so today I have an update on how the draw bias is panning out so far this year.
As you will recall from previous articles at Pontefract we bet all stall 2 horses over all distances.
Drawn to Win
There have been 9 meetings this year and using this strategy would have seen you win at 6 of those meetings.
There have been sixteen winners at..
11/1, 8/1, 4/1, evens, 8/1, 4/1, 11/2, 5/2, 10/1, 3/1, 4/1, 5/2, evens, 6/1, 9/2, 7/2
That’s a 81% return on investment!
Here’s the output from HorseRaceBase for all stall 2 runners at Pontefract in 2014.
I don’t know how long this situation will last, but here are the figures for the last three years. Prior to 2011 this was a losing strategy!
Finally I don't like to add price restrictions to my systems because it is just factoring in other peoples biases, but it's worth noting that there's only been one winner at 22/1 or bigger and that if you exclude those horses that start at 22/1 or bigger the 2014 ROI goes up to 105%!
Those are the facts, I’ll leave it to you to decide what to do with them.
Pontefract 3.40 Rocket Ship – win bet – 9/4 Bet 365