By Jamie Pacheco of www.bettingmaestro.com.
Before we get stuck in, a quick reminder of how we fared last time out. Sandeep Lamichhane ended up not playing at all, Shikhar Dhawan got to 50 but his score was beaten by Rishab Pant and our two point bet won pretty comfortably to give us a small profit on the day. Which of course is the most important thing.
On Monday it’s the Kings X against the Hyderabad Sunrisers and it looks a tough one to call on the match winner market with hosts Hyderabad understandable favourites but not consistent enough for us to side with them and the Kings not big enough to deserve a punt on them, either.
But there’s an excellent bet elsewhere. Consider this: the Kings have hit a huge 83 sixes this season and perhaps that shouldn’t come as a huge surprise when we tell you who opens the batting for them: Chris Gayle. 32 of those came from his bat. His opening partner KL Rahul is no slouch, either, hitting 15 of them. And to prove the point that it’s not just two or three of them doing the boundary-clearing, no fewer than 10 different players in the team have hit at least one.
It’s a very different story for the Sunrisers. They’ve hit just 53 and of those, 18 were struck by England’s Jonny Bairstow, who is no longer playing in the IPL as he’s reported for international duty ahead of the World Cup. So that’s their second biggest six hitter out of the equation.
So with all that in mind, what price should the Kings be to get the most sixes? Most firms are going about 1.67 with a couple offering 1.8 and that would be borderline value so we have reason to get excited when we see that Bet365 are going 2.0 about them. You can get that same price with Betfair (Exchange). It’s too good to turn down.
Having said all that, we wouldn’t mind a couple of lusty blows from the bat of the Sunriser’s David Warner. He had a rare ‘failure’ last time out (just 37) but got to 50 in his previous five innings.
That makes it eight times out of 11 that he passed 50 this IPL (in one of them he went on to get 100) so it’s hard to understand why you can get 3.0 in something that’s happened in 72% of his innings this season. His chances are further boosted by the fact that a) this is generally quite a high-scoring ground and b) the Kings XI don’t necessarily have one of the better bowling attacks.
2pts Back Kings XI to hit the most sixes @ 2.0 with Bet365/Betfair
1pt Back David Warner to score a 50 @ 3.0 with Ladbrokes/Coral
You can read previews, analysis and tips from Jamie Pacheco ahead of the Cricket World Cup at www.bettingmaestro.com.