I couldn’t add any trends to yesterday’s preview of Saturday’s Betfair Chase but I have remedied that today. Inside today’s main piece I look at another race on the Haydock card. Plus, I have a selection from this afternoon’s meeting at Market Rasen.
Something for the Weekend – Part 2
Since 2008 just 79 horses have competed in the Betfair Chase. That’s a very sample and in truth there aren’t many useful ones. Looking at some of the most profitable trends. Here are three of the best.
Odds SP Last Race: 6/1 & under – 12 winners from 45 runners + 34.14 23 placed
Last Race Class: Grade 2 – 7 winners from 36 runners +22.81 13 placed
Age: 5yo & 6yo – 5 winners from 21 runners +3.6 9 placed
In Betfair Chase news. It was reported yesterday that Rachel Blackmore will come over for the ride on ante post favourite A Plus Tard.
The other big race on the Saturday card is the Grade Betfair Exchange Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (2:25). There were 19 runners left in the race at the five-day stage. Given the weather forecast I’m hoping the field size will holds up.
Betfair Exchange Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) – 3m ½ f
The four that interest me most at this stage are:
Flight Deck made it 3-7 over hurdles when winning at Wetherby on his seasonal return last month. He’s up just 3lb for that success and although is a much better race the 7-year-old doesn’t have many miles on the clock and has only had two starts beyond 2m 4 ½ f.
Orby’s Legend looked a very useful hurdler in the making when winning the valuable Silver Trophy at Chepstow last month. The 5-year-old produced a good turn of foot coming to the last to win his race that day. It was good ground at Chepstow but he did win on good to soft & soft last season. He’s just had four starts over hurdles and is open to further progress.
Dans Le Vent ended last season with a career best when 2nd of 22 at Aintree in April. Matched that level of form on his seasonal return when a 4 lengths 2nd of 12 in the Welsh Champion Hurdle at Ffos Las. He was doing his best work at the finish last time and should be suited by 3m.
If The Cap Fits has a touch of class and must be respected off a mark of 149. The top-weight won a Grade 1 hurdle at Aintree in April 2019 and a Grade 2 at Ascot latter that year. Didn’t look totally at home over fences last season. Has returned to action in good form back over hurdles finishing a 9 length 2nd of 6 to Brewin'upastorm at Aintree earlier this month. Three miles, a flat track and decent ground are optimum conditions so he’s very much one to keep onside.
Today’s action is from Market Rasen, Newcastle, Wincanton and Thurles and it’s the first named track that provides today’s selection.
1:22 – Emma Lavelle saddles two of the eight runners in this 2m 7 handicap hurdle. The best of her looks to be Thunderstruck. The 7-year-old comfortably won a novice handicap hurdle at Fontwell in May and has run equally as well on both starts this autumn. Given he jumped markedly to the right he did well to finish a ½-length 2nd of 6 at Uttoxeter last month. Nudged up another 3lb for that effort makes life tougher but the good ground is a definite positive.
Thunderstruck – 9/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes
Good luck with your Thursday bets