by Dave French

December 29, 2011

Each Way Value Alternative EVAYesterday the favourite was withdrawn from the race that we highlighted as an each way value race.

I know a lot of readers realised that this meant that the selection no longer fitted the EVA rules and didnt bet.

For me I had to rush out on an urgent mission to help a stranded relative and placed the bet before I left and lost a little 🙁

Today there are two races worth looking at to help understand this method a bit more.

I'll look at the later one first because this is one I wont be betting and I want to explain why.

On first glance the Kempton 6.20 looks like a possible bet.

The favourite Miss Astragal is available at 10/11, we then have a second favourite at 11/2 (Palmyra) and the third favourite at 7/1 (Hill of Dreams).

We then jump up to 10/1. The reason I'm weary of this race is because it is a Maiden and although most of the horses have some form there are two with no previous form, including the second favourite and lots with only one or two previous starts.

This tells me that the race is hard to work out, which in turn tells me that the forecast prices cannot be accurate.

With the second favourite priced up on pedigree alone.

The better looking race is the Doncaster 1.10.

Here the prices go…

Tour D´argent 8/13, Parsnip Pete 11/4, Shockingtimes 9/1, An Capall Mor 33/1, Future Profit 66/1, The Goldmeister 40/1, Coral Cove 40/1, The Banana Man 50/1

Here the market tells us that only the first three in the betting have a chance with a big jump to the 33/1 fourth favourite, so it is better looking race straight away.

Now this is a Novice Hurdle and Shockingtimes has only point to point form previously, but has won on the soft and has beaten horses that have gone on to place in hurdles races.

Parsnip Pete is interesting from a value perspective and I think although Tour D'argent will likely win he is way overbet and offers no value.

Assuming all 8 run I will be having an eachway bet on Shockingtimes.

Todays Selection

Doncaster 1.10 Shockingtimes – eachway (No bet if less than 8 run)

Disclaimer: All views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TGH Trading Ltd or it's employees.

About the author 

Dave French

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked

{"email":"Email address invalid","url":"Website address invalid","required":"Required field missing"}

More Free Winning Tips 

The Daily Punt is updated 6 days a week and always includes a racing tip for the day. If you would like to be notified when it is updated please enter your details in the box below & click submit.

Email subscribers get extra daily tips not published on site!

When you subscribe to the Daily Punt we will email you 6 days per week to notify you of the new blog post & free horse racing tip, we may also occasionally send you related material (systems & strategies etc). These emails will sometimes contain promotional messages for other services and occasionally we will email you with other marketing messages in line with our Privacy Policy


By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.