I was all ready to share a system for the horse racing with you today.
I had the article written, all I had to do was add a race that the system would apply to.
Sod's Law has come into play though and there is not a race today that qualifies for the system.
Not to worry I'll save it until I can find a race, it will be better if we get a winning bet out of it on the day I explain it 😉
So today's piece is a bit off the cuff and it see's me return to that old chestnut Value.
I've been following the Scoring for Profit football system for some time now and when I was contacted and asked if I could advertise it on the site that reminded me of how it focuses on value.
And in particular bets that are over hyped by the high street bookies and thus overbet by the masses.
The obvious fact is that the high street bookies have scores of people dedicated to maximising their profits through the promotion of bad value bets!
Those bets that you see in their shop window. They are designed to entice you to bet and they have mega value for the bookmakers, so over the long term they make a lot of money from all the £10 punters tempted by the match results and 1st goalscorer type combination bets that always seem to be in the window.
Scoring for Profit doesn't look at those particular bets but another overbet, bad value bet in the football markets that you can lay at Betfair or Betdaq.
I'll list some examples below, but what I really want for you is for you to learn to be on the look out for these all the time, because if somebody is pointing them out to you and a few thousand other people (Like on this page) then the value is eroded.
- When the TV pundit cant see a horse losing.
- In fact when anybody says anything on racing or sports TV pay attention.
- When the bookmakers set the prices – in the football, cricket, snooker side markets
- Any steamer – When a horse steams in (in price) the people that kick that off get the value, by the time the public are on board the value is gone.
The lesson that bares repeating is that you should always go against the crowd. And the simple fact is that you can make money without the need for form study if you learn to spot these overbet events and to bet against them.
Towcester 2.10 Minella Humour