Yesterday our draw analysis hit a 6/1 winner and a loser, so all good except I posted the loser as the tip and not the winner 🙁
Today I'm going to answer a reader question regarding additional Pontefract draw data.
WHAT WE WOULD LOVE NOW is the same info for stall THREE!, after your insight that it affects £return!!!!! which must deserve equal study.
Dont forget some of us bet in differing ways, laying, whatever. Your help is valued.
This question has come about because I mentioned the high ROI for stall 3 runners, but I didnt fully research stall 3, so we'll investigate that today.
So this line of data is what prompted the question…
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Now this data was only for 2013 & 2014.
So first thing to do is to look back a bit further and get a larger data set.
I decided to look back to 2010, which now looks like this…
Now I had already decided that 2010 was how far I wanted to look, but I couldnt help but notice that there were a lot of losing years prior to that!
I don't know of anything that has changed around 2010, but I'm sure one of our readers will tell us in the comments if there is something that might have made things change!
So anyway back to the question, here is the breakdown by distance…
The purpose of this data is to show that the draw bias at a track as tight and bendy as Pontefract isn't just at sprint distances.
But what I find interesting here is the huge ROI at 5 furlong.
I think the reason behind this is that Stall 3 has just as much an advantage as Stalls 1 & 2, but it's not overbet like those two stalls so it makes a good profit even though the strike rate is appalling.
I'm not sure if I want to be betting blindly when the strike rate is only 9% but it's info well worth taking into account.
And I wouldnt want to lay stall 3 over 5 furlongs at any price!
Thanks for the question Fred. If anybody else wants to an angle researching then put your request in the comments…
Here's the previous Pontefract Draw article https://dailypunt.com/pontefract-draw-bias/