Good morning all,
Very little happening at the moment and there's not much to get interested in today – unless the rain comes. And it looks like doing just that, particularly at Yarmouth where there's every chance of some deluges before racing. I've had a sift through both the Yarmouth and Brighton cards and listed the horses that don't mind a bit of cut -hopefully it'll be of some use to you, and might narrow things down a bit!
Kraka, having first run for Christine Dunnett, was placed on good to soft (beaten under a length) at Haydock on third start.
Global Rose, placed on soft (beaten under a length) on second start and has run respectably on good to soft before too. Looks the form choice if the rain does come.
Moretti – placed on good to soft on debut, unlucky to bump into a huge gamble at Leicester last time out as well (might have won had he started his run earlier) and must hold a good chance in a very weak field.
Beauty Filly is a winner with cut, having won here at Yarmouth on her debut on good to soft ground. Beaten favourite three times since then sounds a warning or two though.
Fondest – made all to win on soft ground at Haydock last time out and although she was coming to the end of her tether late on, she never looked like getting caught. That was a big step up on her first two runs, looks to be improving.
Hunni – Won a better handicap than this on soft ground at Newmarket last August and has been fairly highly tried a couple of times since then. This looks her level at present and after a couple of decent efforts lately, no reason not to go well.
The only one with any form on soft ground to speak of is Wahaab, a winner on both soft and good to soft last year and 7f with cut is ideal. At around the 8-1 make could be worth a bet to return to form here.
Not only does King Crimson have a terrific record at Brighton (3-3) he's also won on good to soft ground a couple of times (including at this track). Comes here in good form and appears to have a lot going for him, especially as most of his opponents have little form with cut in the ground to recommend them.
Favourite backers could be getting off to a good start as Topmeup is the only one in the field with form on softer ground, having won twice on it. In fact, he's won on heavy as well, so won't mind how bad it gets. Only beaten a neck over C&D two starts ago and looks to have a lot going for him too.
A few of these are untested on soft ground, but favourite Affina won on good to soft on her debut and comes here in good form after her second at Doncaster. Likely to try and make all.
There's a really interesting one here in the shape of old Bloodsweatandtears, who has twice won on good to soft ground and is a winner at Brighton too, but has often gone well (or indeed won) off the back of a break and today could be the time to catch him. He's been put in as the rank outsider here but his chance is surely better than that.
Today's selection (in the hope the rain comes!) – Bloodsweatandtears 4.30 Brighton
Good luck with all your bets today,