by Dave French

June 20, 2012

Carl Nicholson's Value Backing service got off to a good start with 8/1 winner Simenon, hopefully you were on?

Today we have racing trends courtesy of the Betting School Insiders Club. So if you are watching the racing and are working out your own selections hopefully these trends will point you towards some winners.

Race 1 – 14:30 Jersey Stakes 7f Group 3 3yo only

All of the last 14 winners finished in the top two on either or both of their last two runs. Only 1 favourite has won in the last 13 years. Previous Group race winners and therefore penalty carriers are 1 from 21 since 1997. All of the last 13 winners had won at 6f+. 11 of the last 13 winners had run in a Class 1 race or better.

Race 2 – 15:05 Windsor Forest Stakes 1m Group 2 4yo+ fillies & mares only

A relatively recent addition to the fixture with only 8 running’s to date and within those no real trends stand out although Sir Michael Stoute has won 3 renewals.

Race 3 – 15:45 Prince of Wales Stakes 1m 2f Group 1 4yo+

The Prince of Wales Stakes was first run in 1862 but has had both its distance and conditions changed many times since then. All of the last 16 winners finished in the top 4 last time out. All of the last 15 winners were 4 or 5yo and 3yo and 6yo have a poor record. The last 12 winners were all in the top 4 of the betting and 11 of these had all previously won a Group 1 race. 14 of the last 16 winners had won over 1m 2f.

Race 4 – 16:25 Royal Hunt Cup 1m Class 2 Handicap 3yo+

The Royal Hunt Cup is always a very competitive handicap with 30 runners contesting the race on the straight mile course. 24 of the last 26 winners were 4 or 5yo's. Only 1 favourite has won the Hunt Cup in the last 15 years and 10 of the last 15 winners were at double figure odds. All of the last 16 winners carried 9-05 or less. All of the last 10 winners had won at the distance and 1-3 runs during the current season is a positive.

Race 5 – 17:00 Queen Mary Stakes 5f Group 2 2yo fillies only

All of the last 16 winners had won at least one of their last two races. 10 of the last 12 winners were foaled before 14th March. No maiden has won the Queen Mary in the last 16 years. All of the last 14 winners finished in the top 2 last time out and 6 of these went off as favourite.

Race 6 – 17:35 Sandringham Handicap 1m Listed 3yo fillies only

12 of the last 13 winners were from the first 6 in the betting. 11 of the last 13 winners had won over 7f+ (all had won over 6f+). 12 of the last 16 winners had won a race that season.

Today's Selection

Ascot 2.30 Reply – win bet

Disclaimer: All views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TGH Trading Ltd or it's employees.

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Dave French

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