Good morning all,
It’s Wednesday so it’s that time in the week when the column looks ahead to upcoming big race action.
This weekend’s racing doesn’t have the class of the one just gone. However, the three-day Ayr Gold Cup meeting gets under way on Thursday and culminates on Saturday with the annual cavalry charge of the Ayr Gold Cup. The racing at the meeting might lack some star quality but we can be assured of big fields and competitive races. Newbury hosts a two-day fixture on Friday and Saturday with the highlight being the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes.
Inside today’s main piece I’m looking at Saturday’s Ayr Gold Cup. For those of you that like to have some fun over the winter months I also have ante post selection for next year’s 1000 Guineas.
Let’s begin with the Ayr Gold Cup. Given we don’t know who will run in the race, we don’t know the draw or what the prevailing ground will be. So I won’t be putting up an ante post selection today. However, there are a few that interest me.
The winner of the Ayr Gold Cup is?
Andrew Balding is 2-6 with his runners in the race in the past 10-years. This year he’s got one of the ante- post favourites in Kings Lynn. The 3-year-old has only had three career starts. A winner at Doncaster 12 months ago. He ran recent York Listed winner Starman to 2 ½ lengths on his seasonal return last month. He will strip fitter for that run and mark of 94, likely underestimates him on his handicap debut. Probably won’t get in the race but if he does sneak in will go off a short-priced favourite.
Kevin Ryan is another trainer with a good record in the race. Since 2010 he’s had 3-26. He will no doubt have a few runners again. One of his runners could be Bielsa. The 5-year-old was sent off the 5/1 favourite for the Wokingham at Royal Ascot. A poor run there and subsequently in two small field races at Haydock, the most recent after a wind-op but a return to last season’s best would see him in the mix.
Golden Apollo won the Silver Cup at last years meeting. Now 3lb higher, he showed he could be competitive off his mark when 2nd of 12 at York back in July. Big run expected from the ground versatile 6-year-old.
Swindler looked a very promising handicap sprinter 12 months ago, winning twice at Ascot, and 4-year-old advertised his claims with an excellent effort 4th of 27 in the Goodwood Stewards Cup. More than capable of winning off his present mark but does need quick ground. Has switched from Ed Walker to George Scott.
If you want my Ayr selections you can get them here.
Ante Post Angle: Qipco 1000 Guineas
Its going to be a long wait till next April and I know a lot of you have no interest in ante post bets so far in the future. However, for those of you wanting to join me for a 33/1 poke at next year’s 1000 Guineas here you go.
Monday, trained by who else but Aidan O’Brien, built on the promise of her Punchestown debut when winning a Listed race at Leopardstown on Saturday. The daughter of Fastnet Rock out of Ballydoyle, who herself was a Group 1 winner as a juvenile and finished runner-up in the 1000 Guineas (2016) won in decisive fashion and could now head for either the Prix Marcel Boussac or the Fillies Mile at Newmarket.
It’s not often I go in at this stage for next year’s Classics. However, I did like Monday’s attitude at Leopardstown and I think she’s a filly going places. The 33/1 still available with BetVictor and Paddy Power looks worth a small each way punt.
I think yesterday’s selections are still running. There are Listed races at Sandown and Yarmouth today and it’s the former race that provides today’s tip.
3:35 – Zaaki won twice in Group 3 company last year with both wins coming on good to firm going. A solid 3rd of 8 behind Century Dream on his reappearance. Not at the same level on his last two starts but his last run at Haydock can be excused as he was too keen over 1m 2f. A return to fast ground is a positive, as is the drop back to a mile. Can go close for an inform yard.
Zaaki – 13/2 @ Bet365
Good luck with your bets.
John Burke is the tipster behind the long standing Victor Value service you can join him here – https://victorvalue.uk