Good morning all,
You'll notice it's Saturday Selections and not Saturday Preview because, as expected, the technology has defeated me. The signal drops out every two or three minutes here (I swear that's on purpose to make you purchase the more expensive wi-fi) and uploading/posting anything is proving hard enough! Never mind a 15-minute video…
So apologies and for one week only it's a potted version, with my selections for today on the main piece.
2.05 Newcastle – Summerville Boy
I can't let him go without a small win bet. Regulars will know how keen I was on him for the Supreme after the Tolworth last year, and I think he's the real deal. That Supreme run was unbelievable – the more you watch it, the better it gets, everything went wrong in the race and he was still too good – and with all the pressure on Samcro and Buveur D'Air, he comes into this an underdog. The worry is that he may need this to take some of the fizziness out of him – he can pull pre-race, so if you have pictures and can keep an eye on him, then do so.
3.20 Newcastle – Big River
An open looking Rehearsal Chase but I do like the chances of the improving Big River. Has a good record fresh, stays well and the more I look at his final run of last year when trying to give chunks of weight away to the useful Behind Time, the better it gets. I think he's in for a good season in staying handicaps and can start off with a win here.
1.50 Newbury – Man Of Plenty
Yes, I know, I have a soft spot for him. But he goes up in trip today, which on the evidence of the two starts this season, he is absolutely crying out for. Hills, comically, are paying 6 places on the race. That's more than reason enough to try an e/w bet on him today.
2.25 Newbury – Whatmore
I'm a big Global Citizen fan, as you all know, but as I type this the rain is falling outside the window (I'm a mile from the track) and with every puddle that forms, his chance gets less and less. Whatmore was very impressive at Bangor, putting a decent lot to the sword and he didn't look in defeat from a long way out. Not stopped improving yet and worth a small wager.
3.00 Newbury – Beware The Bear/West Approach
Has to be said this is not the most exciting renewal of the Ladbrokes Gold Trophy. With the pace likely to be strong (at least five front runners in attendance) this could go one of two ways – one of the frontrunners gets loose and takes a lot of pegging back, or the pace falls in a heap and the hold-ups come through. Of those, Beware The Bear makes plenty of appeal – record fresh is very good, is 1-1 at the track, has had a wind operation and cheekpieces go on. Certainly won't mind any rain either, and you're backing a horse from a top trainer at a big price. I'll give West Approach one more try too – that was an awful effort in the Bet Victor, he never went a yard but he simply seemed to get taken off his feet. His first run of the season was full of promise and I'd rather concentrate on that than the latter effort. Has plenty of ground to make up with Black Corton on Kempton running last year but he's a stone better off today and this track ought to suit him better too. Interesting they try him without the headgear as well. Very risky, but at 33s, worth a small e/w saver.
Away from the big meetings, eagle-eyed readers will see my Number 1 pick on my Ten To Follow, Euxton Lane, goes in the first at Bangor. The money has come for him and he's now favourite. It's a really hot little race but I'm hoping he can now get his season on track. Happy to let him win without my money on at the current prices though.
Today's bets –
2.05 Newcastle – Summerville Boy (win)
3.20 Newcastle – Big River (win and main selection today)
1.50 Newbury – Man Of Plenty (e/w, Hills 6 places)
2.25 Newbury – Whatmore (e/w)
3.00 Newbury – Beware The Bear (e/w) and West Approach (small e/w) (both with Skybet, 5 places)
Good luck with all your bets today,