Good morning all,
Thought I'd take an early look at the Sprint Cup on Saturday today, despite Haydock not being my favourite place for a bet, it's an interesting race and there's a couple at double-figure prices that make some appeal.
The Sprint Cup at Haydock on Saturday looks a pretty competitive event if the main protagonists line up for it, but the first question is whether Ten Sovereigns is going to be one of them. It's only a couple of weeks since he blew out in the Nunthorpe at York and whilst the step back up to 6f will be a big plus if he does take part, the likelihood of some cut in the ground as well would ask another question. So already the negatives are starting to stack up and we've not even got into the form yet. At a top price 4-1, I can happily pass him over for the time being.
Advertise saw the back end of Ten Sovereigns in the July Cup and since then has been to Deauville to win the Maurice de Gheest from Brando to give the form a solid enough look. He won't mind a drop of rain – he got away with good to soft at Ascot – but probably wouldn't want it any worse than that. If the rain stays away, and they don't get the amounts forecast (3-4mm each day, and possibly more on Friday) then he would be a worthy favourite.
Hello Youmzain will eat the ground up if it's soft and that might give him a chance of reversing Commonwealth Cup form with Advertise. But he does have a couple of lengths to find and I just wonder if he might be good enough. Fairyland certainly is good enough but soft ground would be something of an unknown for her, although again the step back up to 6f after getting outpaced in the Nunthorpe will help.
Dream Of Dreams head second to Blue Point in the Diamond Jubilee is arguably the best piece of form in the race and a reproduction of that makes him a big danger, but he seems at his very best on quicker ground.
Invincible Army is one I like a lot. Consistency is clearly not his strong point but when he's good, he's very good, and his Duke Of York win is a very solid piece of form. 6f on soft ground might bring about the best in him – he seems fairly impervious to the ground these days, but his trainer has always stated he doesn't want it really quick – and having shown some form at the track already, when just touched off by Sands Of Mali in the Sandy Lane last year (might have won in another couple of strides) it's a case of whether he can get out of bed the right side.
Khaadem won the Stewards Cup with plenty in hand and put in a much improved performance but if you are giving him a chance here then you surely have to look at Waldpfad as well? Let's not forget – he gave Khaadem 8lb and a good beating when winning the Hackwood at Newbury in July (on ground with plenty of cut in it) yet will only have to give him 2lb here. Yes, he's unproven at G1 level but you can't ignore that piece of form and it's hard to see why he should be three times the price of Khaadem. For me, two small win bets at 14s for Invincible Army and if you can get the 18s Waldpfad (with Ladbrokes) I'd take that as well.
Not mad keen on today's racing but perhaps Rose Marmara can get back on the winning trail in the 3.35 at Catterick. She has shown signs she's on the way back and the step back up to 7f should help her cause. Gets stall 1 as well, and I'd expect her to try and make all. Well handicapped and worth a small win bet.
Good luck with all your bets today,