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Stat Attack

Mr Chocolate Drop finished 4th yesterday at 20/1 and so just missed out on the place money!

As promised yesterday I've done some research into horses that are back in a class that they have had a 100% place record in previously.

I've tried to replicate the conditions that highlighted Mr Chocolate Drop and although I've squeezed out some profit from the analysis, it's not a huge profit and I need to follow it live for a while before I can be confident that the selections are worth following.

The rules I've ended up with are…

All Weather Handicap Races
Standard Going
Horse has placed 100% of races in today's Class
Odds greater than 5/4
Horse has placed more than 66% of time on going


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The results for 2013 are…

Runs = 151
Wins = 36
Strike Rate = 23.84%
Profit at iSP = 24.5
Return on Investment = 16.23%

Two qualify today…

Burren View Lady (4.30 Wolverhampton 3/1 Bet 365)
Commandable (3.30 Southwell) (8/1 Bet Victor)

Stat Attack today has two 100% horses…

Burren View Lady (4.30 Wolverhampton) – Has placed 100% of its races at Wolverhampton at today's distance on today's going. (3/1 Bet 365)

Reaping The Reward (2.10 Musselburgh) – Has placed in 100% of it's non handicap races. (15/8 Bet 365, Paddy Power, Bet Victor)

Both could win but neither appeals at the prices!

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

I may have a small bet on Commandable, but he is only having his second race in the UK and I may have to add a rule regarding number of previous UK races!

Today's Selection

1.00 Southwell Raging Bear – eachway bet – 13/2 Will Hill

2 thoughts on “Stat Attack”

  1. I am absolutely broke following your tips. One winner in 10 is not going to get me anywhere but in the dustbin.

    I missed your only winner, as I had no money left in my Betfair account that day.

  2. With All Weather Systems i have found it more profitable to use them from Sunday to Thursday this can give you an extra 20% on your S/R and up to 30% on your ROI

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