Daily Punt Home - Stat Attack

Stat Attack

Mr Chocolate Drop finished 4th yesterday at 20/1 and so just missed out on the place money!

As promised yesterday I've done some research into horses that are back in a class that they have had a 100% place record in previously.

I've tried to replicate the conditions that highlighted Mr Chocolate Drop and although I've squeezed out some profit from the analysis, it's not a huge profit and I need to follow it live for a while before I can be confident that the selections are worth following.

The rules I've ended up with are…

All Weather Handicap Races
Standard Going
Horse has placed 100% of races in today's Class
Odds greater than 5/4
Horse has placed more than 66% of time on going

If You Struggle with Long Losing Runs Winning Favourites Will Turn Your Betting Around

High Strike Rate, Regular Payouts, Winning Favourites

Winning Favourites Try For Free

The results for 2013 are…

Runs = 151
Wins = 36
Strike Rate = 23.84%
Profit at iSP = 24.5
Return on Investment = 16.23%

Two qualify today…

Burren View Lady (4.30 Wolverhampton 3/1 Bet 365)
Commandable (3.30 Southwell) (8/1 Bet Victor)

Stat Attack today has two 100% horses…

Burren View Lady (4.30 Wolverhampton) – Has placed 100% of its races at Wolverhampton at today's distance on today's going. (3/1 Bet 365)

Reaping The Reward (2.10 Musselburgh) – Has placed in 100% of it's non handicap races. (15/8 Bet 365, Paddy Power, Bet Victor)

Both could win but neither appeals at the prices!

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

I may have a small bet on Commandable, but he is only having his second race in the UK and I may have to add a rule regarding number of previous UK races!

Today's Selection

1.00 Southwell Raging Bear – eachway bet – 13/2 Will Hill

2 thoughts on “Stat Attack”

  1. I am absolutely broke following your tips. One winner in 10 is not going to get me anywhere but in the dustbin.

    I missed your only winner, as I had no money left in my Betfair account that day.

  2. With All Weather Systems i have found it more profitable to use them from Sunday to Thursday this can give you an extra 20% on your S/R and up to 30% on your ROI

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.