Good morning all,
It's the so-called Super Saturday today with great races every 10 minutes. By 5 o'clock tonight your head will be spinning with the amount of racing crammed into this afternoon. I still can't help but think that one of these meetings would be better served by being moved to the Sunday – tomorrow we have three jump meetings and not one on the Flat.
Anyway, we press on regardless and I've done my best to have a look at all the TV races for you. Last couple of Saturday's have been pretty good, so here's hoping for more of the same.
Just Hiss (Tim Easterby)
More to do after a C&D win last time out, as he’s gone up another 5lb for that, but no arguing with his form over C&D (a win and a close third in this grade last October) and there’s not too much in the way of competition for the lead here, so may get a clear sight of the front.
Arcanada (Tom Dascombe)
Asking plenty for something to win this after an absence, but he has gone well after a break before, won’t mind any rain and has both form at the track and trip. Likely to track the pace and get first crack at the pacemaker. Worth a saver.
Royal Birth (Stuart Williams)
Won this last year and gets his conditions again, a straight, fast 5f on quick ground is ideal. Plenty of pace for him to aim at and is arguably still well handicapped from a mark of 95.
Son Of Africa (Henry Candy)
Possibly being lined up for a crack at something at Goodwood but looked something like his old self at Ayr last time out and is back on a winning mark, so not to be dismissed, with this likely to be run to suit.
Not a race I like the look of. Barsanti was second in this last year and it does look an easier renewal, so looks the obvious one, but whether I want to get involved at 11-10 is another matter. On softer ground I’d have been all over High Jinx, who ran such a cracker for us in the Yorkshire Cup at a big price and is likely to get a soft lead here, but the good to firm ground is an issue. Happy to leave this alone.
Maths Prize (Roger Charlton)
I was quite keen on him at Ascot but he ran too bad to be true, and the fact he’s back out again so quickly suggests he just had an off day. That third to Khalidi at Doncaster last season is a quality piece of form and still makes him look nicely handicapped off 90. One more try.
Scarlet Dragon (Eve Johnson Houghton)
There’s probably better handicapped but Scarlet Dragon just keeps running well again and again in these big handicaps and he did again in the Wolferton, finishing a close sixth. Not badly drawn here and has conditions again. 1-1 over C&D too, and seems to go on all ground, so any rain won’t be too much of an issue.
Tumbaga (Saeed Bin Suroor)
Stall 22 looks a killer, but you can win from this draw (if my stats are right) and he didn’t run so badly at Ascot in the Wolferton to be a 33-1 chance here. Chances are the petrol will be running out in that last half-furlong but I’m willing to give him a try with a bookmaker going five/six places here.
The more I actually trawl through the Bunbury Cup the less I actually like it. If you knew that low numbers wouldn’t be disadvantaged (and on evidence so far, they ought not to be) then I could be tempted to chance a small e/w bet on Robero, who is versatile as far as distance and ground goes, and likely to be up with the pace from the word go. He won easily in the week and hit the line running, so this step back up to 7f won’t be an issue.
Gustav Klimt will be all the rage here but second favourite Aqabah makes plenty of appeal. The quickening ground is in his favour and the seventh furlong ought not to be a problem, so if he can repeat his close fifth in the Coventry can go close. Bit worrying to see the hood removed but presumably is learning to settle better and I fancy a small upset.
Fashion Queen (David O’Meara) makes a bit of appeal here. She’s something to find on form but has plenty of speed and showed it again at Sandown last week, although the track probably didn’t suit her and she was a bit free. Back at a track she likes, she might find a bit more progression and get involved. She won’t mind a bit of rain either.
It’s hard to knock the chances of Caravaggio, who many thought was the lay of the week at Ascot but proved too good for Harry Angel and Blue Point in the Commonwealth Cup. It’s hard to see how Harry Angel reverses the form and Caravaggio is a worthy favourite.
Trying to find something e/w at a price isn't easy either, as there’s every likelihood that The Tin Man, Limato and the aforementioned Harry Angel fill the places. I’m happy to swerve the race for betting purposes.
Today's selection – Scarlet Dragon 3.05 York
Good luck with all your bets today,