Tag Archives: Bitches

Greyhounds – Is it fast enough

Once we have found a dog that looks like it will have a favourable position, ideally in front, at the first bend and will not get any trouble on the way to the bend then all you need to know now is whether it is fast enough to hold onto its lead.

It is very common to find a dog that will get a clear run around and will lead most of the way in a race only to lose in the closing stages.

These sprint type dogs just don’t have the stamina to hold on to the winning line and are a trap for anybody using the kind of strategy that we have discussed here.

The key clue to whether we are dealing with this kind of dog is its past race positions. If it has led previously all the way but still not won then you need to find a reason why it might hang on today. EG If in a previous race the positions are shown as 2111 but the dog didn’t win the race then this is a danger signal.

Maybe it is an easier race today maybe a lower grade. Maybe it is fitter today, if the last run came after rest or it is a puppy who is improving. If you can’t find a reason then maybe you should give this one a miss.

Because graded races are in theory constructed such that any dog could win, other than the types mentioned above, I tend to not pay too much attention to the previous times recorded by each dog. As long as my selection is not way slower than the opposition then I am likely to go with it.

The exceptions to this are where I can see a reason why one of the opposition might improve. These include…

Puppies. Young dogs that are just starting out on their careers which can improve in leaps and bounds.

Rested dogs. Dogs that have been off for a rest and are not yet running to their pre rest form. EG If they were running A4 grade before their rest but are now reappearing in an A6 then it is likely that at sometime soon they will return to the previous grade IE they are better than their opposition.

Bitches that have been in season. Bitches don’t run when they are in season. When they return they tend to find significant improvement at around 16 weeks after their season commenced. This tendency is significant enough to be a profitable strategy in itself.

One final point to keep in mind is that you don’t have to bet just one selection in a race. If you have narrowed a race down to two or three contenders then consider splitting your stakes between them.

Splitting stakes across multiple selections is a strategy I use a lot in greyhound racing. You can either bet the same stake on each dog or adjust your stake so you make the same profit whichever of your selections wins.

You can use our dutching tool that will help you determine the correct stakes for dutching selections.

And that is the method that I use to find winning greyhound selections. As with any betting method you are looking for a dog with a strong chance of winning and one that has a better chance than the available odds suggest. There is no clear cut selection ever, because if a dog is an obvious winner then the odds will reflect that.

But that said I have frequently found selections that I am sure will win, barring accidents, at 4/1 and 5/1.

Greyhound Bitches System

I'm running a bit behind today so I'll just quickly update you on the Greyhound Bitches system.

I plan to run a series of articles later in the summer that will look at all aspects of finding winning greyhounds, but this system is more of a quick way to find potential winners. And so far the rules are not finalised or fully tested.

But I want to share the idea with you.

So basically we know that 16 weeks after a bitch has been in season she will improve suddenly from her recent form back to her best.

A few years ago when I had a lot more time I did some research that found that you could just follow these bitches for their next 3 runs after the 16th week and make a small profit.

What I'm trying to do is to add a few rules that will improve the profit.

So currently the basic rule is to find a bitch at the appropriate time in her cycle who has performed and won at a higher level than todays opponents.

We have an example today in the form of Fivestar Pupil in the Sheffield 11.28.

This bitch is 16 weeks and 3 days out of season and runs in an A6 race today.

Back on 28th February she won an A5 after finding some trouble in running.

I prefer it when they are not fancied by the Racing Post because you can then get a value bet, this one is the 9/4 favourite which puts me off a bit.

But that is the strategy. If you are doing any work yourself on any betting system then I'd love to hear about it.

Today's Selection courtesy of Winning Information Network

3.15 Southwell – Flying Pickets 13/2 (Skybet) – Each Way

3.45 Southwell – For What 5/2 (General) – Win Bet

Newmarket July Meeting Tips

The Newmarket July Festival kicks off today and we have four of the races on Channel 4.

Although here in the East we've not had the torrential rain that some parts of the country have seen, we have had more than normal for this time of the year and the going on the July course is soft.

This will effect the form so there may be some upsets on the card.

If you want a full set of tips for the meeting then Matt Lindner is offering his through the card service for £5 per day during the festival and you can get them by emailing or Paypaling Matt at matt-racing@live.co.uk. Mention the Daily Punt when you buy because it helps us to get free cards for all readers in the future 😉

On the greyhound bitches front the method worked out yesterday with one winner and one loser and we have one again today.

Sheffield 11.57 Fivestar Pupil

Today's TV Selection

Newmarket 15:00 Harris Tweed – win bet

 

 

Greyhound Bets

I've written before about greyhound bitches when they are 16 weeks out of season.

I have always been profitable when I've used this method but it is time consuming because I fully study the form and make sure I'm confident about the bet before I go ahead.

Recently I've been in contact with a guy who has a simple piece of software that finds all the likely bets.

Then he applies a couple of simple rules to find the selections.

Today he has sent me the shortlist and I've applied his rules and got 3 selections. He assures me that these profit over the long term, but that doesn't mean they will win today.

So I'm going to share the selections with you and I will have some small stakes bets on them myself.

Crayford 16.08 Lordsbury Quest
Sheffield 18.38 Fairytales
Newcastle 18.48 Wraysbury Wren

Today's Selection courtesey of the Winning Information Network

Brighton 5.15 Know No Fear – eachway bet

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