There are many ways to approach racing and winning from betting and no best way.
But you are likely to be more profitable though if you use an approach that the majority don't use.
One such approach that the man in the street tends not to pay attention to, unless it is called out by somebody in the media is betting on the influence of the sire.
But characteristics and preferences are passed from father to foal and knowing the inbred preferences of a horse can help us find winners.
So today I have the results of some research into one such angle which will hopefully identify some winners for us over the coming weeks.
The sire we are looking at today is Teofilo(IRE).
What I've targeted today is the All Weather runners of the Teofilo progeny.
With any angle the most profit will come from runs made before the horse and it's ability is exposed so we are looking at 2 and 3 year olds in their first 5 runs.
The preferred distance is 7 furlongs or 1 mile.
And we are only betting on standard going which prevails 99% of the time.
So they are the rules and the results for the last 4 years, which is when we first started seeing qualifiers is…
Runs = 82
Wins = 18
Strike Rate = 21.95%
Profit at iSP = + 50.56
Return on Investment = 61.54%
Those figures jump up if we exclude the first year. Looking at just 2012 – 2014 then there is profit in each year with an ROI of 86.93%.
These breakdown to…
2012 ROI = 96%
2013 ROI = 78%
2014 ROI = 66%
Looking at the individual courses there has been no profit at Dundalk or Wolverhampton.
Most of the runs have been at southern tracks (Lingfield, Kempton) so it may be that rather than these runners having no preference for the northern tracks it may just be a case of where the majority of the progeny are based currently.
Do you follow any sire systems or use sire influences in your selection process, if so and you'd like to share them then please add a comment.
Catterick 4.20 Georgian Firebird – win bet – 4/1 Sky Bet