It's Oaks day and if you havn't already you can read Nick's full assessment of the race here http://dailypunt.com/epsom-oaks-selections/
But if you just want the quick summary here it is…
Only 3 favourites have won this race in the last 10 years!
All of the last 10 winners had raced over further than a mile.
Six of the last 10 winners won last time out.
15 of the last 17 winners had a top three finish last time out.
Intimal – Fails the last time out win stat, She has form on good-to-soft, good-to-firm and on tapeta where she won the UAE 100 Guineas and the UAE Oaks over 10 furlongs.
Both were Group 3 races but she followed that up with an excellent third in the 1000 Guineas at the Rowley Mile. Of those at the front of the market I think she represents the best value at 10/1.
Madam Chiang – The lightly raced Madame Chiang is another fascinating runner, especially if the rain gets into the ground between now and race day. (Going is Good today)
She has only seen a racecourse twice; winning her maiden over a mile on soft ground at Yarmouth before winning the Musidora over 10f at York on her seasonal reappearance (also on soft ground).
With plenty of improvement possible and bred to stay the extra 2 furlongs, she also represents value at the current odds of 16/1.
Volume – Luca Cumani’s Volume has possibilities of making the frame. She has yet to finish out of the 3 in 8 races to date, although two of those were handicaps. She also won the trial at Newbury which is the same race where Izzy Top beat Dancing Rain in 2012.
Those two went on to contest the Oaks and finished 3rd and 1st at 25/1 and 20/1 respectively. She has to improve on what she has done so far but if the ground has some juice in it then she looks all about stamina and could be staying on at the end.
Note: Nick's assessment was that both Madame Chiang and Volume would prefer some give in the ground