Tag Archives: Debutants

Henderson Debutantes Update

Back in November Daily Punt reader Derek shared a system with us for profiting from Nicky Henderson’s charges having their first ever start.

You can read the original post here http://dailypunt.com/henderson-debutants-system/

Today I will update you on the results since we published that system.

There have been just 20 bets, so about 5 or 6 per month.

There have been 9 winners, which is a whopping 45% strike rate, which is very impressive for any live tested system.

The profit at industry SP is 25.63 points, which again is amazing and calculates to a whopping 128% ROI.Continue Reading

System Selections

Hopefully you had a good Christmas and hopefully you were on Nick Hardman’s selections for the King George and the Welsh National.

In the King George Nick gave

King George VI Chase:

Selection: Silviniaco Conti @5/2
Each-way alternative: Dynaste @8/1

Who finished first and second.

And for the Welsh National Nick gave

Welsh National trends horses:

Global Power @25/1
Emperor’s Choice @25/1
Amigo @14/1

Emperor’s Choice won with an SP of 8/1.

You can get more of Nick’s insights at http://bettinginsiders.com

Onto today and a short post.

We only have Newbury racing today in the UK with Southwell and Kelso lost to the weather.

But two of our newest systems that have got off to a good start have selections at Newbury.

The Nicky Henderson Debutants system, which has had 5 wins from 12 runs since we created it and has a 118% ROI at iSP, has…

12:30 Newbury Top Notch – 10/11 Bet365, Bet victor

And the Nico de Boinville system which has only had two bets since we created it, but with one won at 7/1 has…

15:50 Newbury Laurium – 13/2 Sporting Bet

Henderson Update

Last week I updated you on the performance of the Henderson Debut system that Derek shared with us on 4th November and we published on the 5th November.

That one is showing a 45% strike rate and a 138% return on investment.

Runs = 11
Wins = 5
Strike Rate = 45%
Profit to iSP = 15.25
ROI = 138%

But I didn’t update you on the system we published earlier that same week which prompted Derek to kindly share with us.

That system was simply based around Nicky Henderson hurdlers at particular courses and has also done well.

Runs = 20
Wins = 8
Strike Rate = 40%
Profit to iSP = 22.66
ROI = 113%

Now we need to be a bit cautious as it could just be that we have latched on to Nicky H when he is in some good form, but the past stats backed up both of these systems and there are no shared qualifies between them since we started folloiwng live.

You can recap on the rules here

http://dailypunt.com/henderson-debutants-system/

and

http://dailypunt.com/henderson-hurdlers-2/

Today’s Selection

3.40 Wolverhampton Topaling – win bet 11/2 Bet Victor

Henderson Debutants System

We have a fellow Daily Punt reader to thank for today’s micro system.

Derek posted the following micro system in the comments yesterday.

Here’s what Derek said…

I use a micro system for Henderson and it’s based on debutants having first run under UK rules. It is based mainly on NH flat and hurdles. I know you use horseracebase so I’ve just cut and pasted my rules.

Here are the rules in plain English as opposed to HRBish!

Henderson Debutants System

National Hunt races.

Run at one of these courses: Ascot, Cheltenham, Chepstow, Doncaster, Exeter, Ffos Las, Fontwell, Kempton, Newbury, Sandown, Stratford, Towcester, Uttoxeter, Wincanton

Race Distance is 2m6f or less

Horse is have it’s first run and is trained by Nicky Henderson.

It’s price is between Evens and 16/1.

It is 6 years old or younger.

And we only bet in the main season between October to March inclusive.

Heres the overall performance since 2003.

Henderson Debutants System

And here’s the breakdown by year

 

Henderson Debutants Yearly Breakdown

Back to Derek…

You will see that it has performed steadily year after year since 2003.

Henderson repeats the same training routine year after year and this has allowed me to have the above and two other micro systems (handicap hurdles and mares) on the man from severn barrows.

Regards

Derek

Excellent, thanks Derek 🙂

Today’s Selection

2.10 Chepstow Jumps Road – win bet – 5/1 Bet 365

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