Tag Archives: detailed analysis

Football Forecasts

I've got more free tips for you today from a service that has made over 50 points profit in December.

Mark Foley knows the Premier League inside out which is obvious by the detailed analysis that his members get for every match that he analyses.

Today he has bets in three matches and below I have shared his analysis and bets for the Stoke v Man U game.

If you want instant access to the other two games you can join his service for a trial price of £9.99 for the first month.


Stoke City v Manchester United 12.45 KO Skysports 1

Manchester United have a good record in this match, they have won 11 and lost just one of their 13 League meetings with Stoke City. They have won five and lost just one of their last seven away games in all competitions against Stoke, but Stoke are looking solid at the moment and will record three successive Premier League clean sheets for only the second time if they keep United at bay today.

United have played 5 of the teams currently in the bottom half of the table and they haven’t beaten any of them. Stoke really get up for these games, they are notoriously difficult to beat at The Britannia if you are one of the top teams and are in decent form; they held Chelsea to a single goal for over an hour and have recently beaten Arsenal and Everton.

United have by far the bigger squad, but have been badly affected by injuries and the manager admitted that they were running on empty in the 2nd half against Spurs on Sunday. United have only gone in once at Half time leading away from home this season and half of their matches home and away have either been 0-0 or 1-1 at Half time. Six of Stoke’s home games have had no more than one goal in the first 45. I can see this being 0-0 at half time and either ending as a draw or Stoke pulling off a shock. United’s home form and that of David De Gea is disguising the fact that they have been relatively poor away from home. Powers are running a Money Back Special if this ends 0-0, do I’m concentrating on the correct score and first goal scorer markets.

Rooney has scored five goals in his last seven Premier League appearances, but only one of them has come away from home, so I’m happy to pass him over for the first goal.

Peter Crouch has scored only twice in 20 Premier League appearances against Man Utd but both have come for Stoke, we know he likes to get an early goal.
Robin van Persie has scored 10 goals in 10 Premier League appearances against the Potters, including four in five for Manchester United and is the only United player to have scored more than one goal away from home this season.

My Bets:
(All with Paddy Power, Money back special if the match ends 0-0)

Correct score Stoke 1-0: Powers MBS 10/1
Correct score Stoke 2-1: Powers MBS 11/1
Correct score Draw 1-1: Powers MBS 11/2
1st goal scorer P Crouch: Powers MBS 7/1
1st goal scorer R Van Persie: Powers MBS 4/1

Also considered:
Draw/Draw Widely available 9/2
Draw/Stoke Widely available 8/1

For Mark's analysis of Aston Villa V Crystal Palace (15:00) and Tottenham v Chelsea (17:30) join here…


Football Tips

Today I have borrowed football analysis and tips from a guy we have all been making huge profits from.

Mark Foley has been posting his football tips in the Betting Insiders forum since September and he has hit some whoppers.

He has now launched a service and is kicking it off with a one month free trial which is available today only.

Here's the link http://footballforecasts.uk

Mark has posted up detailed analysis and tips for three matches today and here is his assessment of the Leicester v Sunderland match…

3.00 KO Leicester v Sunderland

Two struggling teams; Leicester have lost 5 of their last 6 and have failed to score in 5 of those games. Sunderland have only won 2 of the last 6.

Leicester have only won 1 of their 5 home games, but have also only lost one; the away form is the problem, in all but one of their 5 home games both teams have scored, but Leicester are struggling for goals, they have only scored more than one goal in 3 of their last 10 home games and only time they managed more than 2 goals was against Man United’s reserve back four. They have conceded at least one in every PL home game and struggle in the latter part of matches.

The 3 goals Sunderland scored against Palace followed 3 blanks on the trot in away matches, Leicester are better defensively than Palace. I can see this being tight in the first half and Leicester should be able to bag one goal against a defence that has produced plenty of errors in recent weeks, especially if Alloa can rediscover his early season form.

Vito Mannone has made three errors leading directly to goals than any other Premier League player this season. The Black Cats have never won away at Leicester in the Premier League losing three and drawing one of their four visits.

My Bets: (Split stake):

Correct score 1-1: BetVictor 13/2

HT / FT correct score: HT 0-0 / FT 1-1 Powers 16/1

If you want to get the rest of today's tips and get tomorrows and every weekends for a month for free go to http://footballforecasts.uk today!

Victoria Cup Selections

Today we have a detailed analysis and selections for today's Victoria Cup from Nick Hardman who is a contributor at the Betting Insiders Club…

This Saturday sees a cracking renewal of the Victoria Cup run over a straight 7 furlongs at Ascot.

As you would expect from a big field handicap, this race has thrown up some decent priced winners including Excellent Guest @25/1 last year, Dandy Boy @16/1 in 2010 and Swift Gift @25/1 in 2009.

This is the type of race where there is no harm in taking a few against the field with several bookmakers paying 5 places.

It is also the kind of race that can take a great deal of deciphering so let’s take a look at the profiles of the typical winners from the last 15 renewals:

– Only 3 of the last 15 favourites have won (3 from 17 if you include joint favourites)
– 11 of the last 15 winners were aged 4 or 5 years old
– Only 1 of the last 15 winners had an official rating in the 100’s
– 8 of the last 15 winners had an official rating of 92 – 96 (6 winners were rated <90) - 11 of the last 15 winners had previously won at the distance - 10 of the last 15 winners came from the top 6 in the betting - 9 of the last 15 winners had last raced 8 – 30 days previously - Only 3 of the last 15 winners won after a break of 120 days or more If we are looking for a horse that ticks plenty of the boxes above then Luca Cumani’s 4 year old colt Ayaar @16/1 fits the bill quite nicely. Formerly trained by Mick Channon, Ayaar is a four time winner at 7f and was once rated 102. Now in the hands of Cumani he ran a decent race on his stable debut finishing 3rd behind re-opposing Georgian Bay and Glen Moss. I’m expecting him to come on for that run and racing here off 97 he may be well treated off his current mark. Others who have a similar profile include Brownsea Brink, Flyman and Purcell. Brownsea Brink may fare best of the three with Flyman yet to win beyond 6f and Purcell needing to show he is as good on turf as he is on the AW. One who could be very well handicapped at a big price is Don’t Call Me @33/1 for Dandy Nicholls. This horse has lots of good form over 7f to 1m. He also has course figures of 1433126469. Those last 4 runs at Ascot are hardly inspiring but we should take a closer look. In July 2010, Don’t Call Me won the Dubai Duty Free Handicap off a mark of 84. The following year he was 3rd of 30 in a Class 3 handicap off a mark of 88, a race won by Captain Ramius. In 2012 he was an excellent 3rd of 30 in the Royal Hunt Cup. He finished that year by winning a decent class 2 handicap at the course @25/1 off an official rating of 96. That was the last time he won a race. A month later he ran 2nd of 14 @16/1 in a heritage handicap off a mark of 102. A winter campaign in Meydan saw his rating rise to 107 and the best of his recent runs was when 4th of 28 in the Royal Hunt Cup (again at an unfancied 25/1) this time last year off a mark of 102. Since then his official rating has dropped to 95 and if recapturing some of his previous spark he could well outrun his massive odds. A slight negative is his age (7 years old). However, Excellent Guest won this race as a 6yo last year and Global Village won at the age of 7 in 2012. His best runs at the course have been in the Royal Hunt Cup over 1 mile. It may be he is better at that distance but he does have form at 7f including a win, a second and a third place finish at Ascot. He is also top of the Racing Post Ratings and also has the highest speed rating (although I am not sure when this was achieved). This could be a horse past his prime and his turf reappearance run at Haydock was well below par. However, he may also be a horse who has a decent run left in him back down to his last winning mark. I have had a couple of quid each-way @40/1 last night (clipped into 33’s following final declarations). Another couple from the older brigade who could run well at a price are last year’s winner Excellent Guest @20/1 and Belgian Bill @25/1. However they have to overcome absences of 203 and 224 days respectively and that is slightly off-putting. Excellent Guest won this race off 2lb higher on his seasonal reappearance and despite his woeful form figures since, it would be folly to dismiss him out of hand. Belgian Bill goes well here with a 4th in the Britannia in 2011, a creditable 7th in the Buckingham Palace Stakes in 2012 (having run 2 days earlier in the Royal Hunt Cup) and a win in the Royal Hunt Cup last year. It’s a tough ask on his seasonal debut but don’t be surprised to see him put in a bold bid. Selection: Ayaar @16/1 e/w (5places) Bet Victor Lively outsider: Don’t Call Me @33/1 e/w (5 places) Now 20/1 Bet 365
(Since we wrote this Pricewise have selected Don't Call Me and the price has crashed !)

Not to be underestimated: Belgian Bill @33/1 Bet Victor and Excellent Guest @25/1 Bet Victor

Free Cheltenham Tips

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Today's Selection

2.20 Southwell Raging Bear – win bet – 6/1 Bet Victor

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