Tag Archives: dollar

Football and Racing Tips

Today we have a football perm from The Alternative Punters Syndicate.

This week I've picked the away perm.

I am allowed to pick one of their bets each week to give away here and frankly I've picked the wrong one for the last couple of weeks.

Hopefully this week I've picked a winner.

This bet returns £58 for £1 stakes.

TAPS run a daily racing and sports tipping service and you can try it for a full month for free here http://dailypunt.com/taps

Top Rated ‘Best 5 Aways'
(Perm any 3 from 5 plus all 5 = 11 bets)
The best overall odds* for the ‘Best 5 Aways' are available with…
Stan James
Racing Selections

There's four bets today from the First Time Headgear system. So far there have only been two selections and one win…

13:15 Newbury Bouvreuil (FR) 9/2 Paddy Power
14:25 Newbury Unioniste (FR) 4/1 Bet 365
15:35 Newbury Calipto (FR) 15/2 Betfred
16:15 Naas Dollar And A Dream (IRE) 5/1 Betfred

Each Way Value

As I was looking through today's cards I was reminded of another strategy championed by yesterdays guest writer Clive Keeling.

Basically this method is essentially a non form method of getting each way value in horse races.

Here's an example that Clive published in his newsletter recently.

I highlighted a great each way betting race in the 12.30 Newbury last Friday and suggested choosing an each way bet from three horses: Bold Cuffs; Vasco d’Ycy; and Pistol.

This was the result:

1 Vasco D'Ycy 7/1
2 Pistol 6/1
3 Saphir Du Rheu 10/11F
NR: Hector's Chance

Not bad eh? No form research; just logic and conjecture based on the betting forecast and Oddschecker. Do take a look at last week’s example.

The example is at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk. It is a great way to sniff out each way horses.

In summary, here’s what you do:

Look at 8/9 runner races.

Ideally, the favourite should be odds on (Saphir Du Rheu was 10/11 favourite in the above example).

There should be four or five horses under double-figure odds in the betting forecast at the Racing Post and in the live betting market. This allows us to easily shortlist potential horses who can take advantage if an odds-on favourite under performs (as above with Saphir Du Rheu coming third).

It’s a nice, simple, logical strategy which needs no form research at all, and could net you a 7/1 winner as above .

So there is a race that fits the profile today and it's the 5.40 at Kempton.

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Two In The Pink, 4/1 Batchworth Lady, 5/1 Summer Sun, 7/1 Visual Aspect, 20/1 I Need A Dollar, 25/1 Back For Tea, 33/1 Dancing Ellie Mae, 50/1 Hanga Roa.

So the method tells us we should have an each way bet on either Batchworth Lady, Summer Sun or Visual Aspect.

Having a closer look at the race and it's hard to see any of them winning, but somebody has to. The more I look at this race the more I think the odds on favourite Two in the Pink is actually value at the current odds of 8/13. The others are a poor bunch.

But the point of the article is to demonstrate the each way value method, so on that basis the each way selection would have to be Summer Sun for me at 6/1.

The idea behind this method is that the win price on the strong favourite pushes out the prices of the other main contenders, which makes them value for the place part of an each way bet on them.

Today's Selection

Lingfield 3.45 Fathom Five – win bet – 7/2 Bet 365

IACGMOOH – Bristow

We've got a few good features coming up that I'm excited about, including next week when we have a pro football bettor writing a series of articles that will help you to profit from football betting.

We're also doing some research into betting at Betfair Place SP instead of win market BSP, if you've got thoughts or data on that then I'll be pleased to hear it.

But today I'm going to talk about Im a Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here.

I've had some success in these markets over the years and it adds some fun to watching the program if there's a little money involved 🙂

I don't usually get involved this early on in the competition.

This is mainly because many celebs won't show their true colours until the fatigue and hunger really sets in. Also you can bet your bottom dollar that there will be some surprises along the way with late entries etc.

At the moment I'm siding with Eric Bristow and have had a small bet to that effect.

Eric is a real man who knows what he wants, what is acceptable to him and what isnt and he's a straightforward fun guy.

I think Brian Conley (current favourite) will do well, but I've never really liked him and see more value in Eric.

David Haye I think will upset some people along the way, including the viewers at home.

Hopefully Eric will go a long way and I'll trade out if the chance arises for a reasonable return.

Tomorrow we have a double All Weather card and I'll point you towards some interesting data that will help with winner finding there.

Today's Selection

Today I have a set of lay bets for you, so these are expected to lose. They come courtesy of http://www.easylaymethod.com/

The recommended maximum price to lay at is 6.0

13.00 LINGFIELD Hidden Identity
13.20 SEDGEFIELD Petara Bay
13.40 HUNTINGDON Kauto The Roc
14.00 LINGFIELD Lookout Mountain
14.20 SEDGEFIELD Sparkling Tara
14.40 HUNTINGDON Rajdhani Express
15.00 LINGFIELD Lord Singer
15.20 SEDGEFIELD No Planning
15.40 HUNTINGDON Resourceful Miss
16.00 LINGFIELD Amazing D'azy

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