Tag Archives: excellent form

Nick Hardman Free Racing Tips

It's Friday and here's Nick Hardman from the Betting School Insiders Club.
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We had another terrific Friday last week courtesy of Nicky Henderson’s hurdlers and he rattled up a hat-trick across the cards with winners at 6/1, 4/1 and 9/4. With Chepstow abandoned and nothing making any appeal at Musselburgh, we turn out attention back to the AW and some qualifiers from the systems we are road testing over at the Betting School Insiders Club which are ticking over nicely.

There are no qualifiers from Lingfield but we have a few from the evening card at Wolverhampton below:

5.15pm Solar Deity & Linton
5.45pm Harwoods Star
6.15pm Little Lord Nelson
6.45 Go Packing Go & Sciustree

Solar Deity looks to have a good chance to get off the mark in 2015 after a string of placed efforts. He is rated 6lbs higher than his nearest rival on official ratings but is well-in under these weights. He rates a solid bet and I expect him to shorten so take the best morning price with a Best Odds Guaranteed bookmaker.

Stablemate Linton needs to recapture the form that saw him win plenty of races in Australia and compete in a pair of Listed races on the flat last year. I would be as surprised as anyone if Linton were to take this from his stablemate but he is one that may tempt the each-way backers at a price.

Harwoods Star got turned over at 4/9 on his last start but has a chance of making amends here back up in trip and with7lb claimer Aaron Jones back on board. The yard are in excellent form too so he is worth another chance.

The same trainer and jockey team up on Little Lord Nelson in the next and he also has decent chance on handicap debut. The final race will most likely see Charlie Appleby’s New Approach colt Symbolic Star go off a warm order. If he takes a chunk out of the market that could see our two qualifiers go off at an each-way price.

Sciustree is related to plenty of winners and was 6th of 12 on debut and should improve for that experience. Go Packing Go is also well related and makes her debut here.

Saturday’s feature race is the Clarence House Chase which sees the return of the mighty Sprinter Sacre. I for one will be hoping he doesn’t just win this, but wins in the manner of a horse that totally dismisses his rivals. Racing needs superstars and we want this one back. With that in mind it is a watching race and not a betting race for me.

For a selection on Saturday I have run the rule over the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock from a trends perspective.

We have a shortlist of 4 qualifiers in Vintage Star, Benbens, Amigo and Toby Lerone. Benbens had Amigo some 20 lengths behind in the Welsh National and I cannot see any reason why Amigo should turn the tables here.

Toby Lerone put in a career best last time when finishing second to Broadway Buffalo in the Tommy Whittle Chase at this venue. He is up 6lbs for that and could still be improving. That was on heavy ground too, which he will likely get again on Saturday.

Vintage Star is 4lbs lower than when runner-up in this race last year. He is also back down to his last winning mark that saw him win a Graduation Chase at Carlisle on heavy ground over 3m 1f.

He has not performed that well in 3 starts this season but he has yet to see really testing ground which he may well get on Saturday. Trainer Suzy Smith has an excellent record in the race having trained 2 winners, a runner-up and two third placed finishers since 2000.

It’s a leap of faith but I am willing to make him one of my selections from the shortlist in the hope this is a true test of stamina.

I am torn between Benbens and Toby Lerone for my second selection but I will side with Benbens as the father & son Twiston-Davies combination has been in fine form recently. In addition he was travelling as well as anything in the Welsh National until running out of gas about three flights from home. Back down in trip I think he can go well.

Saturday Haydock 3.15pm
Vintage Star e/w
Benbens e/w

The one runner who does interest me on Saturday’s cards is super-tough mare Carole’s Spirit in the Mare’s Hurdle race at Ascot.

A winner of 4 of her 5 starts her only defeat came at the hands of Highland Retreat who has gone on to be an exciting novice chaser for Harry Fry.

Against her own sex and proven over track, trip and ground I expect her to go very close.

Saturday Ascot 1.50pm
Carole’s Spirit

Good Luck
Nick Hardman
Betting School Insiders Club

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Big Priced Golf Selections

Following on from my post the other day about big priced selections and specifically Dave Bicknell's Golf selections, today I have for you Dave's full analysis and selections for the McGladrey Classic which tee's off at 12.35 today.

Don't forget to check out http://proballclub.co.uk/ for full details of Dave's selections and his past results.

The Pro Ball service is £50,000 in profit this year to £100 stakes and is the perfect service if you are looking for a balanced portfolio with plenty of action.


THE MCGLADREY CLASSIC

We travel this week to georgia and the Sea side course sea island is our home for the week. This is a well respected venue used as a practice course for many pro's who are resident in the area.

Sea island golf club is a ocean side links course thattests all aspects of your game . It's exposed so any sea breeze can become a factor to how you approach this test. It's just above the 7000 yard mark and is a par 70 that will require accuracy to the undulating fairways protected by marshland,waste areas and large fairway bunkers, you will require course management and precise approach play to the fast putting surfaces as well as the ability to scramble and deal with any costal conditions.

The weather for this week looks to start well with winds estimated between 10-15 mph the weekend is a little tougher to call but predictions are for no major change.

E/W PICKS

Z JOHNSON 12-1
J FURYK 14-1
J DAY 16-1
B ADAMS 66-1
G CHRISTIAN 150-1
D MATHIS 200-1

ZACH JOHNSON Is a local resident who knows the course well his accuracy and great short game touch make him a must pick, he did miss the cut last year but was involved in a lot of off course work through out the week , he will be returning from a two week lay off after the ryder cup so is well rested, his two wins this year also came after two week lay offs.

J FURYK Is only missing a win he has constantly put himself in position to close this year and although tasted disappointment he is becoming more like the player who won the fed ex cup and will turn these chances into victories, it's a week field and he also is returning after a couple of weeks rest , expect an in form furyk who is made for this course 11th here last year.

J DAY Is another player trying to get back to the heights he once occupied , he has four top tens this year which by his standards is poor and i must admit his odds are not very generous but its what he did last time out at the Justin Timberlake event that has me interested, all four rounds were in the 60's , he finished the weekend with rounds of 64,65 (that included a double bogey finish) and he birdied 7 of his first 9 holes taking just 10 putts , jason has been up and down this year with his eye off the ball maybe caused to his new edition in the family but when a player gets that hot making birdies and holing putts you have to take some notice , this could be a kick start to something more.

B ADAMS Has popped up in a few places this year playing some great golf but not getting all he deserves, now in the fall series he has a real chance in weaker fields to reap some rewards. Took a week off after finishing 8th at the Timberlake making 18 birdies and an eagle , this isn't a one off with him lying inside the top 50 for par breakers , he's local and has made the cut the last two years not playing anywhere near his current form.

G CHRISTIAN Missed his first cut in eight events last week after a poor first round , he did bounce back with a nice 68 and will look to continue some excellent form into this event , the course should be right up his street short par 70 with course management a premium , he has great GIR stats and also will compete from 100 yards in only thing holding him back is a sometimes cold putter .

D MATHIS Just inside the top 125 so he needs a big week ,great putter who finished just outside the top 20 last week , finished 15th last year and will look at his strokes gained putting stats and excellent approach play from inside 100 yards to figure big , as with a lot of players he knows how important this tournament is for guaranteed starts next year, he;s responding well to the pressure and i see him taking care of business this week.

BACK BETS DAY 1

T GAINEY
M GOGGIN BACK
B BRYANT

MATT'S HAD GOOD RESULTS HIS LAST TWO EVENTS AND APPEARS TO BE TAKING ADVANTAGE OF SOME FULL TOUR STARTS , FINISHED LAST WEEK PLAYING WELL.

J OVERTON BACK
D CHOPRA
G WILLIS

JEFF IS ANOTHER IN FORM PLAYER ON THE EDGE OF RETURNING TO HIS TOP FORM, CLOSE TO BEING AN E/W PICK THIS WEEK.

Pro Ball Club members also have selections for the Perth International as well as football and racing bets.


Today's Selection Courtesy of Value Backing

Kempton 7.30 The Art Of Racing – win bet

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