Tag Archives: friends

Football & Racing Tips

Today we have an away bets perm from our friends at The Alternative Punters Syndicate and a reminder of the tips Nick Hardman posted up yesterday.

The Alternative Punters Syndicate has been successfully helping punters win since 1996 and you can get a totally free one month trial of their service which tips for horse racing, football and other sports.

Use this link http://dailypunt.com/taps

Football Selections

Top Rated ‘Best 5 Aways'
(Perm any 3 from 5 plus all 5 = 11 bets)

LIVERPOOL
MAN UTD
CHELSEA
BOURNEMOUTH
CELTIC

The best overall odds* for the ‘Best 5 Aways' are available with…
Boylesports

Racing Selections

You can read the full reasoning for these selections on Nick Hardman's Friday post

Saturday Haydock 3.15pm

Vintage Star e/w
Benbens e/w

Saturday Ascot 1.50pm

Carole’s Spirit

A Winner a Day

Today Malcom Pett is back after an enforced break due to a major technical failure 🙁

Who said finding one winner per day was easy?

Over the years I have spent a lot of time trying to work out how to pick just one runner a day that will win.

I know it is not an easy task but you would think with experience that it should be possible.

Then I was talking to one of my “Tipster” friends who actually supplies a “one a day” tip to a select number of people.

After a bit of digging it turns out that even his single tip is his “Best” selection from his 3 top selections each day.

He said that he found out a long time ago that looking for just a single winner is very difficult, so he switched to finding 3 (originally 4) selections a day.

He said that friends he had talked to himself…

…All had a number between 3 and 10 that they would consider as their best selections a day.

They would then work out how to make money depending on the prices and how successful they were at getting winners from those selections.

He settled on 3 because he normally found at least one winner a day from that number of selections.

It also turns out that although he had come up with various staking plans the most simple one, was just to “stop” as soon as he got his first winner of the day.

He found this strategy had worked very well.

After a bit of arm twisting (long story to come later) he agreed to show me what he meant…

…In fact he agreed to show all our site visitors over at Grey Horse Bot his 3 selections a day.

You can follow along yourself here:


At the time of writing this he has already had 2 day’s where all 3 selections won.

Putting this tipsters tips aside…maybe this is a better strategy to adopt.

Instead of pressuring yourself to find just one winner, you could first find out if you can get better at selecting 1 winner out of 3 or even 1 winner from 5.

Once you can do this you may then be able to work out a money strategy that will allow you to make a profit from using just those selections.

From the looks of our tipsters selections so far he doesn’t just pick favourites but he does tend to pick strong contenders. Many of his winners are above even’s but probably within the top 3 in the betting order.

You can check out the selections here.

Thank-you as always for reading I really appreciate it.

Malcolm
The Grey Horse Bot.

Today's Selection

3.40 Taunton Kalimantan – win bet – 11/10 Coral

Horse Racing Ratings

Grey Horse BotToday we have our third guest column from Malcolm Pett of Greyhorse Bot fame.

—–

It’s strange how you see yourself…

I have always thought of myself as out going sort of person who likes a challenge and is not afraid to try something new.

Although I haven’t done as much as some people, I have had my fair share of adventures including, windsurfing, flying lessons, Scuba diving and sailing. Those are among some of the things I have tried and learned.

But while talking with some friends who I have only known over the last few years they said I was more of a “nerdy” type of guy.

When I quizzed them about why that was their impression of me?

Their answer was simply I am always talking about computers, programming, databases, 3d printers and lately quadcopters….. Nerdy!

Although I thought about defending my own impression of myself I have to admit…

…As the one that my friends tend to ask about anything technical it was going to be a hard battle to win.

So “Nerdy” I am…

To be honest I actually don’t mind the term although I am probably not exactly as some on-line dictionaries explain it…

“A person who is single-minded or accomplished in scientific or technical pursuits but is felt to be socially inept”

Any one that knows me will certainly not call me “socially inept”.

“One obsessed with something specified: a computer nerd.”

Which is probably what my friends were thinking when they used the term.

So when I start talking about System development or statistical modelling then you will probably think the same.

One of the things I love doing as a “computer nerd” is analysing our in house database to find horse racing systems.

Horse Racing Ratings

Lately I have been spending a great deal of time on developing ratings.

This is where you actually assign a number to each runner in a race and then rank them by that number or simply use the rating you have assigned them.

The official rating (OR) which you find on race cards is an example of this…

The fascination is in the way you create the ratings.

A trick you may want to use is to combine a number of ratings from different sources to create what some people refer to as “Power Ratings”.

So you could use the OR, RPR from the racing post and another rating like Sporting Life’s 5 star rating.

Add them altogether and you have ratings from 3 different sources which may point to another winner rather than the favourite.

I would suggest sticking to handicaps when you begin purely because all runners tend to be rated unlike say “maidens”.

I have tried this myself in the past and it can work quite well but the downside is the work involved getting all the information together daily.

I much prefer automation, and because of that I like to build my ratings based on statistical information.

Like…

How often a horse that came 1st place last time out…Wins.

Or

How often a 3 year old Horse wins a handicap.

You can see an example of how you could do it here.

See the ratings

I am a great believer in ratings (not just because I am a nerd) because I feel they give you a consistent way of selecting runners which tends to also give you a consistent strike rate.

The trick is to find the ones that offer value.

Thank you as always for reading I really appreciate it.

Malcolm

Malcolm Pett is the creator of the Greyhorse Bot which has been automating betting since 2006 – http://greyhorsebot.com

Today's Selection

15:05:00 Sandown 1 Alonsoa – win bet 11/8 Boylesport

Brand New Betting Bot

Today you are the very first people to hear about a new betting bot that has been created by our programmer here at TGH Trading.

About 3 months ago somebody contacted us here and asked if we would build an automated betting bot for their own private use.

This person had been using a particular system since July 2012 but the system took too much time to operate throughout the day.

We quoted a price, a deposit was paid and we started building the bot.

And we started following the system to see if it really was as good as this guy claimed.

Frankly we were amazed when it made 155 points profit since early March up until yesterday.

Once we saw that the system was working we started hinting that we might like to sell this bot to our customers.

System users are always worried about profits being effected by too many people using their system. And I suppose that is a valid concern, anyway to cut a long story short we have been allowed to recruit 50 users for this new bot.

12 of those places have already gone to friends and family, so that leaves 38.

Now because there are so few places and because this bot has more winning days than losing and it can be left totally hands free to do it's thing, it is expensive.

If you do the math you'll see that you don't need very big stakes to cover the cost of £95 per month (£2.50 per race should cover the fee).

But to get you started there is a £20 trial for the first month, so hopefully by the second month you will be paying from profit.

This post is going on a bit but I'll briefly tell you a bit more about what the bot does.

It bet's on most races throughout the afternoon and evening.

It bets between 1 and 3 selections in each race.

It is all level stakes with no loss recovery or crazy staking. You set the stake per race and that is your total risk on that race.

If you want to try it for £20 for a month then go to http://mysteryhorsebot.com

Today's Selection

Leicester 4.45 Velox – eachway bet – 11/2 Paddy Power

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