Tag Archives: Insiders Discount Coupon

Win £50,000 with Tote Ten To Follow

I'm just back in the country and catching up on my emails etc, so if you've mailed me I will get to you soon!

Today I want to remind you about the Tote 10 to Follow competition where you can win £50,000 plus a monthly prze of £2,500.

First though I've just heard that there are 7 more places available with the coupon to the Betting Insiders Club, here's a reminder of the details.

Betting Insiders Discount Coupon

We have secured a discount code which gives a 20% discount on any Betting Insiders subscription package.

It is limited to the first 50 users.

To use it go to this page http://www.betting-school.com/amember/signup/index/c/cWZ3DwGIX

And in the coupon box enter 756F3618

To read more about Betting Insiders go here http://betting-school.com/private but use the first link (above) to secure the discount, all the bonuses will be the same 😉

Tote 10 To Follow

Although the scoring started on Saturday for the Tote 10 To Follow you can still pick a stable anytime up to Midday on May 31st.

Obviously the sooner you enter your stable the more points you will accumulate so I would strongly recommend that you get your entries in this week.

Ideally you want horses that will be winning Group races and there are bonus points for the big races of the season. With the Epsom festival hosting the next bonus races in the Coronation Cup, The Oaks and The Derby.

For £5 the Ten to Follow is a great way to have an interest all season – Tote Ten To Follow.

Today's Selection

3.25 Beverley Saint Thomas – win bet – 2/1 Bet Victor, Sky Bet

Referee Bias Football Profits

We finish of our week of Betting Insiders features with an article from Jakub Gawel who is one of the Betting Insiders football betting and trading correspondants and who shares systems and strategies in the Betting Insiders report every month.

Here's Jakub…

This month I shared my research into the influence referees can have on the outcome of football games and detailed stats that demonstrate that some refs favour certain teams.

These biases may be unintentional and let's assume they are but nevertheless they exist and we can profit from them.

Today I'm going to share one particular bias that I have uncovered which featured in my Betting Insiders article this month.

Human factor – If you think about football refereeing as a job, it seems to be a very lonely one, often being abused verbally and even physically at times by players, managers and fans.

At the end of the day, a ref is a human being who has feelings, likes and dislikes. The ref should always remain fair and unbiased but is it safe to say, that even they will have their most/least favourite clubs/stadiums.

This quote was taken from one of the interviews with professional refs, which were supposed to promote this choice of career.

After reading this statement, I checked the League stats for Everton when they played under Marriner.

According to Andre Marriner, 38, who joined the elite list of Premier League refs in 2004, the rewards are manifest.

‘For me there’s nothing better than being a referee,’ he says. ‘I was at Everton the other day, one of my favourite grounds, and the atmosphere was amazing.

Running out of the tunnel, the sound of the crowd, the compactness of it all, it makes the hairs stand up on the back of the neck and there is nowhere else I feel more alive.’

On checking the stats I found that Everton lost only 4 out of their 21 matches under Marriner, 15 of those took place at Goodison Park (a bit many you would think) and Everton lost only 2 (against Newcastle and Blackburn).

But nothing interesting in terms of penalty and red card favour.

However, it’s noticeable that the Toffees were on average booked less often than their opposition.

But looking at my stats, Mr Marriner is the ‘luckiest’ match official for the team from the blue half of Liverpool.

Looking at Everton and other refs’ stats, there are some match officials who aren’t very ‘lucky’ for the Toffees, for example Martin Atkinson (19 Premier matches and only 4 wins for Everton) or Mike Jones (1 win in 10 matches).

Whether it’s just a fluke or a strong trend, it can’t be ignored when it comes to betting or trading.

This is just one trend that I uncovered, but there are a whole host of factors effected by the allocated referee.

Have you ever heard a manager or pundit state that bad penalty decisions even themselves over the course of a season?

My penalties league table strongly suggests otherwise. Some high profile teams have many more penalties awarded for them than against.

And for some of the less glamourous Premier League teams it unfortunately doesnt come close to evening out.

The influence of the referee on a game is a huge factor that you should consider in your betting and one that is under-utilised by the majority, which means value for us.

Betting Insiders Discount Coupon

We have secured a discount code which gives a 20% discount on any Betting Insiders subscription package.

It is limited to the first 50 users.

To use it go to this page http://www.betting-school.com/amember/signup/index/c/cWZ3DwGIX

And in the coupon box enter 756F3618

To read more about Betting Insiders go here http://betting-school.com/private but use the first link (above) to secure the discount, all the bonuses will be the same 😉

Today's Selection courtesy of Betting Insiders

Font 1730 Aikideau (BetV 2/1, Gen 7/4)

Arbitrage Betting

Today's guest article is from Betting Insiders contributor Mark Jenkins.

Mark is a full time arber and targets a weekly tax free profit of £1,000 from his arbs.

Here is an excerpt from his article in this months Betting Insiders report…

There are many arbitrage techniques, but generally speaking the more you can break an outcome down the better your chances of finding a money making opportunity.

One of my personal favourites is using HT/FT odds to cover the draw.

For example one recent match saw the best odds available on the draw as 12/5 (3.40 decimal).

By taking the best available HT/FT odds you could achieve 3.51.

You are only interested in the draw at full time so you need to cover the outcomes as follows.

1) Home team at halftime draw at fulltime.
2) Draw at halftime draw at fulltime.
3) Away team at halftime draw at fulltime.

Then whatever is happening at halftime the draw is covered at fulltime.

The odds were, 18/1 (19.00), 9/2 (5.50) and 19/1 (20.00).

It is easy to calculate, again we need to turn the odds to a % so 100/19 + 100/5.5 +100/20 = 28.44% then divide 100 by the % to get the relevant decimal odds 100/28.44% = 3.516.

Now that might not seem like much of an improvement but in arbitrage terms it makes a 1% trade into a 2.5% one and that is a BIG improvement.

Making money through arbitrage is just one way that I make money, there are the regular bonuses offered by the bookmakers to take advantage of, and the little incentives, such as the 1% cash back currently offered by Skrill (formerly Moneybookers), where just by depositing into a bookmaker 1% is given back by way of points that can be cashed in for actual money, this is another way of profiting from your arbitrage activities, making a 0% arb into a profitable trade if you have to deposit.

One of my arbitrage colleagues actually moves his money around every Monday morning to make profits from this incentive.

You can read more of Mark's strategies for risk free cash, including how he made a risk free 75% on an arb, in this months Betting Insiders report.

Betting Insiders Discount Coupon

We have secured a discount code which gives a 20% discount on any Betting Insiders subscription package.

It is limited to the first 50 users.

To use it go to this page http://www.betting-school.com/amember/signup/index/c/cWZ3DwGIX

And in the coupon box enter 756F3618

To read more about Betting Insiders go here http://betting-school.com/private but use the first link (above) to secure the discount, all the bonuses will be the same 😉

Today's Selection courtesy of Betting Insiders

Redc 1735 Sorcellerie (Gen 11/2)

Two Year Old Micro System

Today we have an excerpt from an article that Mark Foley wrote for the current issue of the Betting Insiders Report.

Every month Mark shares five key trainer trends and below we have one of the five for May.

For more micro systems like this join the Betting Insiders Club, if you just want tips based on sound data then check out Mark's Trainer Trends service.

Tom Dascombe 

Tom Dascombe – 2yo runners priced 9/1 or shorter: Dascombe rode 96 winners for Martin Pipe, before spending 3 years as assistant trainer to Ralph Beckett and then a further 2 in South Africa/Dubai working for Mike De Kock. At the 2003 Dubai Racing Carnival, 8 of the 22 De Kock horses that Dascombe trained won, winning $3.6 million in prize money.

Returning to England in 2005 he set up in his own operation at Lambourn and after 4 successful years received an offer from Michael Owen and Betfair founder Andrew Black to move to Manor House Stables. This came at a time when Dascombe was worried about finding buyers for the eight 2yos he intended buying; backed by his new partners he was given a budget which meant he ended up with 50 yearlings at an average price of £38,000 each. Expect Tom Dascombe to be eating at the elite trainer’s table in a few short years.

However, it hasn’t all been plain sailing and it took a while to work out how to train horses from the new state of the art base. Staff had to be recruited, routines established and with a better quality of horses, new targets found. Since that 1st year results have improved each year in both the number of winners and prize money registered and regular patterns are now beginning to emerge. The highlight has been the 3 Royal Ascot winners, firstly with Rhythm Of Light and Brown Panther in 2011 and more recently the Queen Mary with Ceiling Kitty.

Since 2009 the stable have had 33 winners in May and the 2yos were the superstars winning 21 of their 93 races for a 45% profit. Only 4 of the 43 runners to go off at a double figure SP won and those at 9/1 or less were the ones to focus on. The table over page illustrates that Dascombe failed to have a juvenile winner in May until 2008, but enjoyed a successful 2009 before the move and apart from that dodgy first year the 2yos have served connections well with 11 winners in May in the last two years alone.

TomDascombe

The market was a good guide with all but one of the 6 runners to go off at 6/4 or shorter winning and the outright favourites winning 9 of their 13 races, for a most impressive 76% ROI. The runners priced 4/1 or shorter won 12 of their 27 races.

The fairer sex were the ones to follow; the fillies had a far better record than the colts and geldings providing 15 of the 21 winners. The strike rate was far superior as was the ROI, compared to the colts and geldings. The figures have been so far superior that you have to believe it is a deliberate ploy and that the stable’s long term target is to breed their own runners from high class mares and fillies.

The debutants did okay winning 5 of their 35 races for a 7% loss and it was the runners having their second run who were the ones to focus on as they won 9 races from 29 for an impressive 52% ROI. Stable jock Richard Kingscote rode all but 5 of the winners (16 from 57, for a 92% ROI).

Tom Dascombe: The 2yo runners priced 9/1 or less:

Tom Dascombe May Rresults

Betting Insiders Discount Coupon

We have secured a discount code which gives a 20% discount on any Betting Insiders subscription package.

It is limited to the first 50 users.

To use it go to this page http://www.betting-school.com/amember/signup/index/c/cWZ3DwGIX

And in the coupon box enter 756F3618

To read more about Betting Insiders go here http://betting-school.com/private but use the first link (above) to secure the discount, all the bonuses will be the same 😉

Today's Selection courtesy of Betting Insiders

Pont 1555 Heading North (7/2 Hills, PP)

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