Tag Archives: newspaper tipster

Newspaper Tipsters

Do you follow a newspaper tipster?

I'm guessing a large part of the betting public do, whether that be a regular tabloid tipster or a specialist newspaper tipster, which these days means one of the Racing Post columns.

I've just been looking at the Racing Post Naps Tables and Tipster Challenge Tables.

In the Press Challenge which pays a first prize of £2,000 to the top tipster at the end of the year there are only twelve entries.

Two of those are The Favourite and Top Course Trainer, which I guess are included to give some context to the tipster performance but probably also to make yp the numbers!

The Press Challenge table is also interesting for the data that it doesnt include as much as it is for what is presented.

It is a year long competition and each tipster starts with a £1,000 starting bank and one pound is staked on each tip. The tipster with the biggest bank at the end of the year wins the prize, but the table doesnt show the size of those yearly banks in the table.

IE we don't know what loss has been made so far this year by each tipster.

What is does show is the monthly profit or loss to £1 stakes, they obviously have the annual figures to date, but I guess it would be demoralising to punters to show them 🙁

If anybody has these tables from the printed Racing Post from the last day of each month so we could build up an annual figure that would be useful?

So what do we get? For the annual stats all we get is the number of tips and the number of winners and a strike rate.

Favourites have won 36% of races this year. I don't quite understand the turnover column but I'm guessing it means how many races the tipster bets on and that the favourites are less than 100% because of joint favourites etc. If anybody knows different then please let me know in the comments.

The Suns Templegate has a 27% strike rate but only selects 48% favourites.

We get profit and loss facts about Naps, which I assume is for the month and that shows Templegate Naps at + 9 points, the negative figures from other tipsters are not big enough for this to be the year to date figures.

Where we get the most info is in the month to date.

This month favourites are winning with + 28.81 from 403 bets, not great but this is at industry SP and as it's favourites we would expect them to return a loss in line with the average over-round. So favourites are over performing this month, so far!

The only other tipster in profit this month is Patrick Weaver from The Star who is +6.44 from 382 bets.

Interestingly Top Course Trainer shows a big loss for the month and a terrible strike rate for the year.

You can check out this data for yourself here http://www.racingpost.com/news/tips_home.sd#topHorseTabs=press_challenge_form

I'm going to make a note to collect the tables at the end of each month to see if we can glean anything worthwhile from them in the future.

Today's Selection

3:30 Plumpton Fred Le Macon – eachway bet – 8/1 Paddy Power, Bet 365

Read Between the Lines


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If you want to make money from your betting you cannot follow a newspaper tipster.

There are two reasons you shouldnt follow your newspaper tipsters selections.

1. There is no value. If you are following the Racing Post selections you are one of thousands (Between 40 and 90,000 read daily). The paper is on the wall of every bookies in the land and punters all over are betting their selections. Even if the horse has little chance it will still be well bet and the price will be below it's trye chance of winning. It's a similar situation with all the daily papers in the UK!

2. These tipsters in the main have to find a selection in every race. That includes those races where it looks like nothing can win it. Nobody would try and bet in every race on the card and expect to come out in front. As somebody great once said, you have to pick your battles. Only bet in races where you see something that gives you an advantage. Unfortunately we don't know which races our tipster has spent most time on or where he sees a real bet.

If you've got 10 minutes to spare today read this, it will make a difference to the way you read the Racing Post and will help you to get your nose in front.

IACGMOOH

I've had a small bet on Pat Sharp to win at 18.0 to add to my lasy of Mark Wright at 3.05. I know it's hard for latecomers to do well but Pat seems like winner material at the moment. Also Dougie Poynter is yturning out to be slightly more interesting than I imagined.

Todays Tip

Haydock 12.50 Remember Now (Result unplaced)

Haydock 2.30 Molotof  (Result Won 8/15)

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