Tag Archives: Taunton

Racing Systems & Selections

On Course Profits Issue 3

Do you know what AIORT is?

Apparently it's an Acronym for And, If, Or, Then. Which is the way that most of us create betting systems.

In the February On Course Profits magazine there is a very interesting article which explains why the way most people create betting systems doesn't work.

And explains exactly how to build systems that are much more profitable.

It makes for an interesting read and has certainly given me some food for thought.

You can get On Course Profits for free on iOS and Android devices here http://oncourseprofits.com.

If you don't have a suitable device you can also buy this edition on Amazon and read it on any device – Click Here.

We have our first qualifiers for the First Time Headgear system that we posted earlier on the week.

I'm not sure I'm ready to back these yet, maybe just very small stakes! You'll recall that we did the research on 2013 and 2014 data and that we then applied the rules to January 2015 and the results were excellent.

So there has been some forward testing.

Anyway it's up to you

First Time Headgear

13:35 Taunton 6 Flanagans Field – 20/1 Ladbrokes
14:35 Taunton 11 All Yours – 13/8 Sporting Bet

By the way 20/1 selections have been profitable in the past, but obviously the strike rate is very low.

There was a 25/1 winner on January 1st this year.

Today's Selection

Huntingdon 3.35 Chatez – win bet – 15/8 Boylesports

 

 

Odds on Jockey System

At the start of the flat season we put together two systems for finding odds on shots that were more likely to win.

Basically all we did was to look at jockeys that made a profit when following all their short priced rides and for trainers that made a profit with their short priced charges.

At the end of the turf season both systems had enjoyed a high strike rate and a return of investment in the 5 – 8% range.

Not outstanding but good enough for punters who can't tolerate long losing runs.

So I figured we should do the same for the All Weather.

Today the Jockeys.

Back the rides of these jockeys when they start at 6/4 or shorter.

Buick, William Crowley, Jim
Doyle, James Fallon, K
Havlin, Robert Hayes, C D
Hughes, Richard Keniry, L P
Lee, G Moore, Ryan
Morris, Luke Mullen, Andrew
OBrien, J P Probert, David
Queally, T P Spencer, Jamie
Winston, Robert

 

The 2014 results for this group are as follows…

Runs = 388
Wins = 225
Strike Rate = 57.99%
Profit at iSP = 48.26
Return on Investment = 12.4%

Today's Selection
2:40 Taunton Money For Nothing – win bet – 2/1 Bet 365

A Winner a Day

Today Malcom Pett is back after an enforced break due to a major technical failure 🙁

Who said finding one winner per day was easy?

Over the years I have spent a lot of time trying to work out how to pick just one runner a day that will win.

I know it is not an easy task but you would think with experience that it should be possible.

Then I was talking to one of my “Tipster” friends who actually supplies a “one a day” tip to a select number of people.

After a bit of digging it turns out that even his single tip is his “Best” selection from his 3 top selections each day.

He said that he found out a long time ago that looking for just a single winner is very difficult, so he switched to finding 3 (originally 4) selections a day.

He said that friends he had talked to himself…

…All had a number between 3 and 10 that they would consider as their best selections a day.

They would then work out how to make money depending on the prices and how successful they were at getting winners from those selections.

He settled on 3 because he normally found at least one winner a day from that number of selections.

It also turns out that although he had come up with various staking plans the most simple one, was just to “stop” as soon as he got his first winner of the day.

He found this strategy had worked very well.

After a bit of arm twisting (long story to come later) he agreed to show me what he meant…

…In fact he agreed to show all our site visitors over at Grey Horse Bot his 3 selections a day.

You can follow along yourself here:


At the time of writing this he has already had 2 day’s where all 3 selections won.

Putting this tipsters tips aside…maybe this is a better strategy to adopt.

Instead of pressuring yourself to find just one winner, you could first find out if you can get better at selecting 1 winner out of 3 or even 1 winner from 5.

Once you can do this you may then be able to work out a money strategy that will allow you to make a profit from using just those selections.

From the looks of our tipsters selections so far he doesn’t just pick favourites but he does tend to pick strong contenders. Many of his winners are above even’s but probably within the top 3 in the betting order.

You can check out the selections here.

Thank-you as always for reading I really appreciate it.

Malcolm
The Grey Horse Bot.

Today's Selection

3.40 Taunton Kalimantan – win bet – 11/10 Coral

One Month Tipping Trial

Today we have an opportunity to take a one month tipping trial for zero pounds and no pence.

The service in question was established in 1996!

That's 18 years of tipping and still going strong.

The service provides daily horse racing tips, both backs and lays.

As well as sports bets for Rugby, Tennis, Football and any other sport where they can find value.

On Saturday this tipster gave 3 bets…

Cotton Club WON 12/1
Polo Springs WON 6/1
Santefisio 3rd 20/1 (advised ew)

Of course not every day will pan out like that, but try it for a month for free then if it suits you stick with it and if it doesnt then no problem.

Click Here for your free trial

Today's Selection

Taunton 5.25 On The Move – win bet – 4/1 Bet Victor, Sky Bet

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