Tag Archives: testing ground

Nick Hardman Free Racing Tips

It's Friday and here's Nick Hardman from the Betting School Insiders Club.

We had another terrific Friday last week courtesy of Nicky Henderson’s hurdlers and he rattled up a hat-trick across the cards with winners at 6/1, 4/1 and 9/4. With Chepstow abandoned and nothing making any appeal at Musselburgh, we turn out attention back to the AW and some qualifiers from the systems we are road testing over at the Betting School Insiders Club which are ticking over nicely.

There are no qualifiers from Lingfield but we have a few from the evening card at Wolverhampton below:

5.15pm Solar Deity & Linton
5.45pm Harwoods Star
6.15pm Little Lord Nelson
6.45 Go Packing Go & Sciustree

Solar Deity looks to have a good chance to get off the mark in 2015 after a string of placed efforts. He is rated 6lbs higher than his nearest rival on official ratings but is well-in under these weights. He rates a solid bet and I expect him to shorten so take the best morning price with a Best Odds Guaranteed bookmaker.

Stablemate Linton needs to recapture the form that saw him win plenty of races in Australia and compete in a pair of Listed races on the flat last year. I would be as surprised as anyone if Linton were to take this from his stablemate but he is one that may tempt the each-way backers at a price.

Harwoods Star got turned over at 4/9 on his last start but has a chance of making amends here back up in trip and with7lb claimer Aaron Jones back on board. The yard are in excellent form too so he is worth another chance.

The same trainer and jockey team up on Little Lord Nelson in the next and he also has decent chance on handicap debut. The final race will most likely see Charlie Appleby’s New Approach colt Symbolic Star go off a warm order. If he takes a chunk out of the market that could see our two qualifiers go off at an each-way price.

Sciustree is related to plenty of winners and was 6th of 12 on debut and should improve for that experience. Go Packing Go is also well related and makes her debut here.

Saturday’s feature race is the Clarence House Chase which sees the return of the mighty Sprinter Sacre. I for one will be hoping he doesn’t just win this, but wins in the manner of a horse that totally dismisses his rivals. Racing needs superstars and we want this one back. With that in mind it is a watching race and not a betting race for me.

For a selection on Saturday I have run the rule over the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock from a trends perspective.

We have a shortlist of 4 qualifiers in Vintage Star, Benbens, Amigo and Toby Lerone. Benbens had Amigo some 20 lengths behind in the Welsh National and I cannot see any reason why Amigo should turn the tables here.

Toby Lerone put in a career best last time when finishing second to Broadway Buffalo in the Tommy Whittle Chase at this venue. He is up 6lbs for that and could still be improving. That was on heavy ground too, which he will likely get again on Saturday.

Vintage Star is 4lbs lower than when runner-up in this race last year. He is also back down to his last winning mark that saw him win a Graduation Chase at Carlisle on heavy ground over 3m 1f.

He has not performed that well in 3 starts this season but he has yet to see really testing ground which he may well get on Saturday. Trainer Suzy Smith has an excellent record in the race having trained 2 winners, a runner-up and two third placed finishers since 2000.

It’s a leap of faith but I am willing to make him one of my selections from the shortlist in the hope this is a true test of stamina.

I am torn between Benbens and Toby Lerone for my second selection but I will side with Benbens as the father & son Twiston-Davies combination has been in fine form recently. In addition he was travelling as well as anything in the Welsh National until running out of gas about three flights from home. Back down in trip I think he can go well.

Saturday Haydock 3.15pm
Vintage Star e/w
Benbens e/w

The one runner who does interest me on Saturday’s cards is super-tough mare Carole’s Spirit in the Mare’s Hurdle race at Ascot.

A winner of 4 of her 5 starts her only defeat came at the hands of Highland Retreat who has gone on to be an exciting novice chaser for Harry Fry.

Against her own sex and proven over track, trip and ground I expect her to go very close.

Saturday Ascot 1.50pm
Carole’s Spirit

Good Luck
Nick Hardman
Betting School Insiders Club

Trainer Trends & Chase Specialist Selections

Today we have a selection from Mark Foley's Trainer Trends service, along with the analysis. You can find out more about Trainer Trends Here

We also have a selection from our Chase Specialist.

Before I get to that, just a reminder that you can get through the card selections for today and tomorrow at the Santa Anita Breeders Cup meeting.

For full details are Click Here.

Trainer Trends Selection

Snowy Dawn E/W 1.10 Newmarket (8/1 Bet365)

Snowy Dawn 1.10 Newmarket (8/1 Bet365)
Two 7f maidens on testing ground, some promise at Warwick before third of nine at Salisbury, but a leading role in this race should demand a good deal more.

Reg Hollinghead Male Runners who finished in the first 5 LTO Priced 9/1 or less.
Runners on the turf had a good record. YES
The juveniles not running in nurseries had a good record. YES
Runners who finished 4th or 5th LTO had a particularly good record. No (3rd)
Runners dropping in Class had a good record. NO
Runners ridden by Graham Gibbons had a good record. NO

Chase Specialist Selection

Wetherby 2.00 Lease Lend 1/2 point eachway (6/1 Betfred)

There may be a second selection from the Chase Specialist and if there is we will update here at 12.30.

Betting Giveaway

Betting Giveaway

So the line up for the rest of the week is now finalised.

Tomorrow we have a free install of the Bet Scheduler software, this is the full unrestricted program.

Thursday we have a free install of the Bags Beater greyhound software.

Friday we have a full 7 day trial of a tipping service, no credit card or Paypal required.

These three offers will be time limited and you will have to register by 7.00 pm on the day of the offer to secure your place.

Today we have another excellent freebie which is being given away to raise awareness of a new product.

This one comes from Matt Bisogno, who is one of the good guys in the online betting scene.

He's put together a method that shows a profit of 420 points profit over the last 4 years.

Matt sells a similar report for £19.95 but he's giving this one away to anybody who registers their email address for more info.

Here are the results from the last 4 years

Year Bets Wins Win% Pts Profit
2011 291 34 12% 90.5
2010 304 33 11% 69.5
2009 275 36 13% 136.5
2008 245 36 15% 129.5

And 11/1 and 12/1 winners the other day
means 2012 has started the same way!

You can get your copy here www.dailypunt.com/betfolio 

Finally on the good news front we have secured a new source of value bets. These are provided by Carl Nicholson who writes for the Betting Insiders Club

Today's Selections Sponsored by Betting Insiders Club

Definite Memories 0.5pts EW (2.00 Taunton) 14`1 with most firms

Comes from the pointing field after a runaway win over 3 miles on testing ground. On first glance this trip would be too short, but she has a flat pedigree and I suspect she is decent enough to make an impact in this race.

Higgy`s Ragazzo 0.5pts EW (3.40 Taunton) 16`1 William Hill

Travelled like a dream at Kempton back in December and was only just out pointed late on. All best runs have been on good ground and with the dry sunny conditions forecast at the track this should be ideal conditions today. Still only 5 he has more to offer than most in this race and the 16`1 is way over priced in my view.

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