It's Betting Insiders day with Nick Hardman (http://bettinginsiders.com ).
Today Nick shares one of his trainers to follow at Kempton along with selections for today's racing.
Last week we highlighted Keith Dalgleish as a trainer to follow at Southwell and we gave you a couple of systems to use in the coming months.
In fact, I have been doing a lot of research on trainer performance during the AW season and subscribers to the Betting Insiders Report were rewarded with a 28/1 winner at Wolverhampton from just one of the trainers highlighted in the December issue.
Today, however, I can share with you one of my trainers to follow at Kempton.
Step forward Ralph Beckett. I have taken a close look at his performance during the AW season (November to March) in the last 5 years.
Since 2010 (AW season – November to March) his record at Kempton is:
Runners = 89
Winners = 23
Places = 40
Win strike rate = 26%
Place strike rate = 45%
Profit/ Loss = +£28.45
That may not seem like an earth shattering profit but with the advent of the AW Championships we can see many trainers sending their better horses to the AW tracks in search of much better prize money than in recent years.
Ralph Beckett is one such trainer and that is confirmed in his figures for 2014 alone where he has fired in 9 winners from just 24 runners for a level stakes profit of £25.08 at an impressive strike rate of 38%.
As we did for Keith Dalgleish we can dig a little deeper and see if there is a particular type of runner that he excels with.
In the case of Ralph Beckett it is his runners in maiden races where he does best and they account for 16 of the 23 winners he has had at Kempton during the AW season since 2010:
Ralph Beckett. Maiden runners at Kempton since 2010 (AW season – November to March):
Runners = 54
Winners = 16
Places = 25
Win strike rate = 30%
Place strike rate = 46%
Profit/ Loss = +£41.17
Even better news for us is that 8 of those 16 winners have come in 2014 at strike rate of 47%, producing a level stakes profit of £30.08.
Get him in your notebook for the coming months.
Today I have a few qualifiers from some other systems I am working on.
Uttoxeter 1.10pm Tokyo Javelix
Southwell 2.45pm Abi Scarlet
Uttoxeter 2.55pm Winged Crusader
Wolverhampton 4.50pm Balayage
Abi Scarlet is a 6 time C&D winner but Pearl Blue will win this if running to her handicap mark on her fibresand debut so it might be worth a saver on the favourite or put the pair in a reverse forecast.
I will be paper trading (or using small stakes) as I road test these systems in the coming weeks.
Of the four, Winged Crusader and Balayage look to hold the strongest chances.