Looking very much like we're not going to be getting much jump racing this week. Card full of jumpers bumpers anyone?
Last week’s racing was quite informative, I thought, and there are not only a few for trackers but one threw up a trainer change angle that should provide a winner or three in the next few weeks.
Leading Knight (Ben Pauling)
Ben Pauling is having a season to forget. His horses were suffering from a potassium deficiency in the autumn and weren’t finishing their races off. Then he had a couple of winners and few started running better, but it didn’t last long, and he’s struggling for winners again. Legal Eyes came good at Kempton, a real outlier last week as virtually everything else he ran got nowhere near.
Needless to say, once he hits form and sorts out whatever problems the yard is having again, he’ll have some well handicapped ones, but Leading Knight is going to be one I follow most closely.
Two runs so far have seen him finish down the field at Ludlow and then fifth at Doncaster last week, but on both occasions he’s caught the eye. At Ludlow on his debut he simply didn’t have a clue but the penny was dropping in the straight and he finished off strongly, and at Doncaster, despite taking a hold, stuck on gamely to the task despite being badly outpaced for fifth.
What’s clear is that he’s going to want 20f plus next year, and is worth inclusion on a tracker for that alone, but there could be a juvenile handicap to be won with him before the end of the season. Especially so if the yard hit form again…
Yorgonnahearmeroar (Michael Scudamore)
One thing that passed me by (until the good lady pointed it out) was the move of all Mark Dunphy’s horses from Claire Dyson to Michael Scudamore. In a results-driven business such as this, I suppose that ought not to come as a surprise, given the Dyson yard have had just the one winner in the last 12 months, and it could see an upturn in his horses fortunes over the next few weeks.
Yorgonnahearmeroar could be one such horse if he can get his jumping act together. Rated in the 120s over hurdles, his fencing ability leaves plenty to be desired – as was the case again at Huntingdon last week, where he made mistake after mistake – but despite that, finished off like a train to grab third on the run in and it’s clear the engine is still there if his new yard can sort out his jumping. Rated just 92 now, he’s capable of taking a 0-100 field to pieces if that's the case.
Briery Bunny (Caroline Bailey)
All the “Briery” horses are homebred by Simon and Helen Plumbly, who I know reasonably well as they live in my home town, and whoever they place their horses with, they all need time to find their feet. That’s definitely been the case with Briery Bunny, but she’s now getting the hang of things and her fourth at Huntingdon last week was another solid step forward. Winner of that race The Composeur was thrown in (and well backed) on his point-to-point form and second home Mister Murchan was an in-form and improving rival, so there’s no reason to think the form isn’t solid. A 3m handicap can be hers sooner rather than later, especially if dropped in grade.
Small fields at Southwell but the 3.25 might throw up a small turn-up as I quite fancy Cosmelli to turn over the shorter priced pair of Charlie D and Tynecastle Park. The former has to prove himself on the surface and latter, good as he is here, might find Cosmelli too classy for him. Beaten just over 2l in the Northumberland Plate last year and acts well on this surface. Worth a bet.
Good luck with all your bets today,