Good morning all,
It'll be a trip to Hove Dogs for me this afternoon as I try and earn a few quid but the rain that's fallen has piqued my interest in both Carlisle (where I've done the card for the Life) and Doncaster as far as a couple of Colossuses go. I may well put some up later, probably around lunchtime when I've had another good look, so keep an eye out if you want to join in.
For today, just a couple of bits and pieces from the weekend's travels that I've picked up along the way that might help us win a few quid down the line.
I was at Fontwell on Sunday and although I thought it was a tricky little card, for once just about everything went right for me. A lot of the profit came from the juvenile hurdle on the card, which looked a two-horse race according to the betting but once you'd seen them in the flesh, it became blindingly obvious it was anything but.
There was nothing wrong with the favourite Nordican Bleue, who certainly has enough scope to win a race or two but he will need to learn to settle a little better, or at least race at a bare 2m, as he didn't quite get home as well as the winner, Twenty Twenty. The winner was first into the paddock and looked a picture of health, and had clearly benefitted from his recent run in a seller at Goodwood. He's a lovely sort for hurdling too, quite athletic, and I had to have him onside in my bets. I was delighted to see him knuckle down to win this and whilst he may not be a superstar, he should be up to winning a couple more before some of the better juveniles come out to play.
I had two other bets in the race and managed to hit the frame with Acquirer as well, a big, strapping gelding that has rather lost his way on the Flat but is another with the size and scope to make a hurdler. However, the worry with Acquirer is that, in much the same way as he has done on the Flat, that he could soon lose interest in the jumping game. With that, not one to back at a short price next time, I don't think.
The other I backed was Amy Murphy's The Accountant, leggy and plenty of size, who hasn't disgraced himself with a midfield finish but is another that needs to learn how to settle early. The hood did help, to some extent, and he appears to be learning to race a little better, so I'll be keeping an eye on him next time out to see if he can take another step forward.
Second favourite was Nicky Henderson's Chapparal Prince but he came into the paddock and my word, did he look ordinary. You can put this poor effort down to greenness if you like but he won't be carrying any of my money any time soon, that's a fact.
The closing bumper looked a middling affair on paper. Paper favourite Dorette had won a very average race first time up and had a penalty to carry, so I was looking to take him on. Winter Holiday, having her first run for Jamie Snowden, looked fit enough but I thought would come on for a run, and anyway, all the fancy prices (plenty of double figure prices the night before) had long gone and she looked little value. Despite that, she was backed into favouritism but in the race itself had no answers to Cardigan Bay, a very long-backed, sturdy type that was fit for this but had previously failed in two attempts to win a bumper. I think if you're winning a bumper third time up it can only signify that's it's a weak contest and anything coming from this that's a short price next time will be getting opposed by me (Winter Holiday aside, who may improve).
At Brighton on Monday, I was never going to learn a lot from a load of class 6 handicaps but maybe there was something to be taken from the novice at 2.30. Both the front two looked well but the one I liked a bit was Ali Stronge's Renardeau, who hadn't been disgraced on his first run at Wolverhampton and looked to have benefitted from it fitness-wise. I chanced a few quid e/w at a big price and looked like picking up third spot until he started to hang over to the rail (which looked dead ground) and he got picked off late. Tom Marquand was far from hard on him and had he picked the stick up, he might have hung on for third but no matter. One more go and he can run in a nursery, and there could be a small one to be won with him. I've put him in trackers with that in mind.
On to today and Carlisle and the 4.15 really does look an excellent opportunity for Inexes to score. There's so much to like – a good draw, a drop in grade, course form, goes in soft/heavy ground and on top of that comes here off the back of a very solid effort when third at the track a couple of weeks ago. Plenty to like and must take some beating here.
Yesterday's selection Cheer's Delboy ran a cracker and traded short in the run (under 3-1) on the final bend but faded. However, he was found to be lame afterwards so has an excuse – keep him onside, there's a race or two to be won with him for sure.
Good luck with all your bets,