It’s been steady profits over the last couple weekend’s for Victor Value subscribers. Saturday was one of those days when everything goes right with Waldpfad (33/1), Casablanca Mix (11/1) and Indeed (6/1) doing the business to give us one of the best Saturday’s of this flat season.
Saturday’s racing looked low key compared to ‘Super Saturday’ but far from it and there are plenty of good performances to look back on.
You'll find my thoughts on Saturday's racing and Monday's tip inside.
Lazy Fox in Newbury Win
Fox Chairman, had looked unlucky on his last two starts behind Circus Maximus and Sangarius. He finally got into the winner’s enclosure when victorious in the Listed race that opened Newbury’s Saturday card.
Dropped in, off a fairly steady pace, he was one of the first to come under pressure. Responding well, he took up the running two out and held on. Despite not doing much when hitting the front.
Fox Chairman doesn't make his jockey's life easy but the odds-on favourite has plenty of ability as he showed here.
The step up to 1m 4f suited the son of Kingman and he may stay further. Given how lazily he races he would surely benefit for the addition of some headgear.
Charlton Enhances Excellent Course Record
It’s not been the best of seasons for Roger Charlton. But Withold’s win in the Marsh Cup showed what a good trainer he remains. The classy stayer hadn’t been since finishing 8th of 15 in the Geelong Cup in Australia last autumn.
Withold has had a wind-operation, since returning from his aborted trip down under and the procedure has certainly worked. Sent into the lead, coming to three out there were plenty of challengers but he brushed them off and ran out a good winner.
To win this, off a mark 107, means he’s a pattern class stayer. The 6-year-old has got an entry in the Goodwood Cup, that race will probably come to quick, and also holds an Ebor entry. If he comes out of the race sound he will surely be able to hold his own in better class races.
The trainer had a handicap double at the track on Saturday which means he's now 10 winners from 28 bets 36% +33.7 16 placed 57% with such runners in the past 5-years.
Don’t Underestimate the German’s
German horses have had plenty of big race success in Britain in the past, so it was surprising to see Waldpfad sent off at 33/1 for the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes.
As I told my subscribers on Friday evening:
“He comes into the race after winning a German Group 3, 17-days ago. The drop back to 6f suited the 5-year-old and there could be more to come from him over sprint trips”.
This was only the 5-year-old's second start over 6f. A big strong sprinting type, he was always travelling well and once he hit the front he was strong all the way to the line. There was no fluke to this success either.
The Tin Man was the big disappointment. The 7-year-old was dropping in class and getting 3lb from the eventual winner but never looked like he would win.
Millman’s Dare to Dream
Newbury's Super Sprint, is a race is designed to give cheaply bought juveniles the chance of winning a big pot.
Betty’s Hope, trained by Rod Millman, cost just £3,000 as a yearling and she came with a late thrust in the hands of Silvestre De Sousa to win on the nod. Not unbacked, she takes home £122,925 for winning the race.
The favourite Ventura Rebel could only finish 4th and looked like he needs 6f.
Frankie’s Not For Catching In Irish Oaks
Now the place to be in this years Irish Classics, has been to be out in front. Frankie Dettori soon had recent Royal Ascot winner Star Catcher out in the lead and his opponents allowed him to dictate the pace. The filly held off the late run of Fleeting to win by a ½ length, with 5/2 favourite Pink Dogwood back in third.
It was a riding masterclass by Frankie Dettori to win, but the other jockey’s including Ryan Moore need to take long hard look in the mirror and ask themselves how they could allow Frankie to dominate the race in the way he did.
Maybe I'm being too harsh on Ryan and the Coolmore jockeys, as they ride exactly to instructions and improvisation doesn't seem to be encouraged.
Henderson Wins The Plate
Finally, a quick mention for Nicky Henderson who landed his first Summer Plate at Market Rasen with Casablanca Mix.
The filly has plenty of ability but has been unlucky in a few of her previous races over fences. Coming into the race on the back of a confidence boasting Aintree win. Nico De Boinville always had the 7-year-old in a handy position behind the leaders. Taking it up three out, she never looked like she would be caught as she stayed on well to give her trainer a first win in this valuable summer jumps prize.
Crystal Can Sparkle In King George
Next Saturday we have the mouth-watering prospect of Enable taking on the likes of Crystal Ocean, Defoe, Waldgeist, Anthony Van Dyck & Sovereign at Ascot.
Let’s hope all the big names stand their ground as it could be one of the races of the season.
Crystal Ocean, gained his breakthrough Group 1 win at Royal Ascot last time, putting in a career best on RPR’s in the process. An improved horse, if he’s ever to beat the mare it will be on Saturday.
5:45 – Spice Of Life, ran well enough when 4th on her handicap over C&D, three weeks ago. She gets the first-time blinkers today, which will hopefully eke out some improvement and trainer Ralph Beckett's record with handicappers in the first-time headgear is 12 winners from 55 bets 22% +30.49 A/E 1.42 22 placed 40% since the start of 2015, including 5 winners from 18 runners 28% +27 with fillies. Granted, the trainers runners are a bit in and out at present but she will do for me.
Spice Of Life
Until next week.