Winning Football Trends

I've just read a very interesting article in this months Secret Betting Club newsletter.

The article looks at fluctuations in the winning percentages of various football bets and at how these fluctuations might have effected your betting.

And probably more importantly how you might feel about your betting method and how your decisions about strategies may have been impacted.

For example, you could have backed every home team priced below 1.9 so far this season and made a nice profit of 25.73 points and a return on investment of 8.22%.

This is from betting in English Premiership, Championship, League One, League Two, Conference and Scottish Premiership.

That's the good news, the bad news is that only one other year has shown a profit since 2005 and that particular year made a 0.03% return on investment.

And it's likely that the same strategy would not make a profit again next year.

But if you just started this year betting teams that fall into this category, this season, you would likely think you were onto a winning method. Especially of the results continued to the end of the season and ended in profit.

Nest season you might be excited to get started and be prepared to bet at larger stakes in order to increase your profits.

Only to meet a losing year.

This article is 7 pages of detailed info with lots of interesting points, skipping ahead now to another interesting point that caught my eye.

That is how few matches have to go against you to turn a winning year into a losing year.

Here's a table shared in the article…

SBC Required Wins

 

You can see that if you are betting at odds of 2.0 that for every 100 bets if 55 win you will make a 10%, but if only 45 win you will make a 10% loss.

What's interesting is that when you move up to odds of 5.0, just 2 bets going for you or against you can make a huge difference.

Looking at the 5% profit column we can see that at 5.0 that 21 wins out of 100 will give us a 5% profit, but if that drops down to 19 wins we lose 5%.

You can read the full article in the February edition of the Secret Betting Club newsletter – Click Here

Today's Selection courtesy of Betting Insiders

15:00:00 Southwell Sin Bin – win bet – 13/8 Bet 365, Paddy Power, Sky Bet, Bet Victor

2 Responses to Winning Football Trends

  1. Joseph Buchdahl says:

    Shame you can’t reference the original author of the work and offer him a link to his website:
    http://www.winabobatoo.co.uk/

  2. dave says:

    If you was to stake a point on the 1st bet at evens, and keep doubling until a winner came in (at evens) allowing only 5 bets which is a total of 31 points total loss, what do you think the chances are of picking 5 losers on the trot? Likely or very unlikely? I need a tipster to guarantee me 1 winner out of 5 consecutive bets every time and then he can have my money.

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