World Cup Bets

Good morning all,

A brief departure from the horses today as I've had a couple of bets on the World Cup – one a three-figure price – which I thought I'd share with you before we're back to the nags tomorrow.

If you've any World Cup bets yourselves that you'd like to share, feel free to leave them in the comments for others to have a look at – I'm sure someone's sat on a big-priced winner out there, let us all know it if you think you've got it! 

Russia to finish bottom of Group A (12-1 William Hill)

Home advantage doesn't mean a lot at World Cups these days – only France won it in 1998, and the likes of Brazil, Germany and Italy couldn't make it pay. Normally holding the World Cup is a joyous event but it could all turn pretty sour pretty quickly for Russia if they can't get past Saudi Arabia intact tomorrow. And I don't think that's a given.

Russia are lucky to be seeded as the hosts as if they were not, Fifa's ranking of 66th would have put them in a precarious position (By the way, the Saudis are 67th.) They are an ageing side, concede plenty (including to supposed minnow sides) and both Egypt and the Saudis are capable of taking points off them if they play to their strengths. Don't forget, it's only two years since they finished bottom of their group in the Euros – a group that contained Wales, England and Slovakia – and results since then have stagnated. Expect the crowd to be on their backs early if things don't go their way.

Iran to concede least goals in the group stages (150-1 188 Bet)

I've not gone mad. Bear with me.

At the last World Cup, this was a three-way dead heat and I reckon, without looking, you'd struggle to guess the three.

They were, in fact, Belgium, Mexico and Costa Rica, all of whom conceded just one goal. So you can get surprises.

And for Iran's first two games at the last World Cup, they almost looked like joining them as they held Nigeria 0-0 in their opening game and then almost pulled off one of the shocks of the tournament by holding Messi's Argentina until the 91st minute before conceding. As a result of that goal, they had no choice but to come out and try and play in the final game, one that saw them beaten 3-1 by Bosnia.

Iran's whole game is based around defence. They work hard to keep clean sheets and will be happy to give up possession (in that Argentina game, they had just 26%) in order to do so and try and play on the break. As weak as the Asian qualifying for the World Cup is, conceding just twice in 10 games is no mean feat, and shows where their strength lies. Their first game, against Morocco on Friday, ought not to pose them too many problems before they take on the might of Spain and Portugal. I can see them getting a low-scoring draw out of the equally-defensive Portuguese in their final game (who could already be through by that point) and it might all depend on how they go against Spain. Can they pull off another Argentinan-like performance? I'll have a few quid at 150's that says they can….

On to today and it's about as unappetizing fare as you could dish up. Punchestown tonight makes a bit of appeal – I'll be looking at Hey Groovy e/w without the favourite in the 7.50, but there's no markets up yet – so instead I'll go with tracker horse Tallulah's Quest at Yarmouth in the 2.30. She's nothing if not consistent and deserves to win one soon, and with track (placed on both starts here) trip and ground all fine, this offers her a decent chance.

Today's selection – Tallulah's Quest, 2.30 Yarmouth.

Good luck with all your bets today,

David.

 

 

7 Responses to World Cup Bets

  1. Mark says:

    Iran now into 70/1 already……a nice leftfield bet. I didn’t get on but thanks for sharing.

  2. john says:

    lukaku leading scorer brazil to win it 80/1 is my bet

  3. Ken says:

    Iceland may go that extra game

  4. Alan hall says:

    Which bookies are offering this market? Searched quite a few and can’t see it on Oddschecker

    • David Massey says:

      Hi Alan. It’s 188bet that were offering the Iran bet but the swines have chopped the price in half today. Now 70-1.

  5. Renner says:

    Have burnt the midnight oil hence late reply! An African nation should soon be getting their act together and begin to mix things up with the top order. Senegal is my tip for a surprise in the last group to kick off. Poland a one man team, Columbia never seem to travel well and its a basic Sayonara thanks for turning up to Japan. How the Saudi’s are 8/1 for tonight… Perhaps only Mr Putin may know?…Russia are no hopers and the 8/1 for finishing bottom of their group is about as generous a bet there is. France should do well and Spain, although aging, are masters at tiring out the opposition, no matter who may be in charge, they are still very good… took 20/1 for France Spain final and France to win the competition outright.
    Hope you all do well with your own fancies.

    Renner

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