Good morning all,
More of the wet stuff if you’re living in the Mids/East and York’s had another 4m of rain overnight. It was starting to dry out quite quickly yesterday but it’s once again going to ride on the soft side.
My thoughts on today before a quick trip to the dentist are on the main piece.
It’s been quite a frustrating week at York as the main selections haven’t run great but the mentions have run okay, with Awake My Soul and Get Knotted (if you were on five places, I wasn’t…) both giving a return, and it was pleasing to see Red Roman win nicely last night. We might have had both the Eyecatchers winning if Mutarabby hadn’t been unlucky in running (and slowly away) and they both remain horses to follow.
There’s not much that makes a lot of appeal at York today.
The Yorkshire Cup at 3.30 looks like a race that could be suitable for a bet. Plenty of this field like a bit of cut, and the rain has come just in time for one of the North’s favourites, Clever Cookie. He’s hard to knock, as he’s got plenty in his favour – trip, track, ground are all spot on and being a hold-up horse over this trip at York is no bad thing either. The problem with having an e/w bet on him (or indeed, any horse here) is that we have the dead 8 runners at present, so we wouldn’t be wanting any non-runners. It’s hard not to see Clever Cookie in the frame but if backing him e/w, best to hang on until nearer racetime.
I see Skybet have gone 80-1 about rank outsider High Jinx and that’s presumably because they believe he will need this run after two years away, but if he turned up here fit and well there’s no way he’s an 80-1 chance. Ground is fine, he has form at Group 2 (and indeed Group 1) and he’s been placed twice at the track. This trip would be an absolute minimum for him though, and he’s likely to be done for a turn of foot but even so, that Skybet price is a bit too big.
In a race where all 8 can be given a chance, the pin for me has fallen on Simple Verse, a horse I like a lot and it was good to see her come right back to form at the end of last season. It could be that she’s an autumn horse but she’s gone fine after a break before and should have a bit more to offer over staying trips this season.
In the 5.05 the 5f Handicap, I’m going to take a chance with Coolfitch. He’s not shown much in two runs this year but they were both on quickish ground, and most of his best 2-y-o form came with some cut in the ground. He’s a hold-up horse, never ideal at York but we have seen that you can win from off the pace this week, and what pace there is here is mainly among those drawn high. So from stall 10 he should get a decent tow into the race and if good enough, hopefully he’ll throw down a challenge late on.
Today’s selection – Coolfitch 5.05 York
Good luck with all your bets today,